Please wait a minute...
金融研究  2017, Vol. 446 Issue (8): 177-191    DOI: 10.12094/1002-7246(2017)08-0177-15
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
媒体报道可以预测创业企业的发展前景吗?
罗炜, 何顶, 洪莉莎, 常国珍
北京大学光华管理学院,北京 100871;
ABB中国有限公司, 北京 100028
Does Media Coverage Signal Startups’ Future?
LUO Wei, HE Ding, HONG Lisha, CHANG Guozhen
Guanghua School of Management,Peking University;
ABB China
下载:  PDF (1256KB) 
输出:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 本文以我国1994年至2014年获得A轮融资的创业企业为样本,研究财经媒体关于创业企业的报道是否具有信息含量。实证结果表明,财经媒体的曝光度和报道的正面倾向能够预测创业企业的发展前景。具体而言,媒体报道越多,报道倾向越正面,创业企业在下轮融资中所获得的风险投资额越大,并且被收购或成功上市的可能性也越大。此外,当风险投资机构的声誉信号较弱时,媒体报道预测创业企业发展前景的能力更强。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
罗炜
何顶
洪莉莎
常国珍
关键词:  媒体报道  创业企业  风险投资    
Abstract:  We examine whether financial media coverage of startups has information content. Using a sample of startups raising Series A funding from 1994 to 2014, we find evidence that both the media exposure and the media tone can forecast future performance of a startup. Specifically, the weekly number of media reports and the positive tone in the reports are positively associated with the amount of venture capital funding raised by the startup in the next round and the probability of the startup to go public or be acquired in the future. In addition, we find the signal effect of media coverage is weaker when the venture capitalists’ reputation is higher.
Key words:  Media Coverage    Startups    Venture Capital
JEL分类号:  G12   G14   G24  
基金资助: 国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:71272035)
作者简介:  罗 炜,会计学博士,副教授,北京大学光华管理学院,Email: luowei@gsm.pku.edu.cn.
何 顶(通讯作者),北京大学光华管理学院博士生,Email:hedingpku@pku.edu.cn.
洪莉莎,会计学硕士,ABB(中国)有限公司,Email:honglisha@pku.edu.cn.
常国珍,北京大学光华管理学院博士生,Email:changgz@pku.edu.cn.
引用本文:    
罗炜, 何顶, 洪莉莎, 常国珍. 媒体报道可以预测创业企业的发展前景吗?[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 446(8): 177-191.
LUO Wei, HE Ding, HONG Lisha, CHANG Guozhen. Does Media Coverage Signal Startups’ Future?. Journal of Financial Research, 2017, 446(8): 177-191.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/10.12094/1002-7246(2017)08-0177-15  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V446/I8/177
[4] 李培功和沈艺峰,2010,《媒体的公司治理作用:中国的经验证据》,《经济研究》第4期,第14~27页。
[5] 罗进辉,2012,《媒体报道的公司治理作用——双重代理成本视角》,《金融研究》第10期153~166页。
[6] 吴超鹏、吴世农、程静雅和王璐,2012,《风险投资对上市公司投融资行为影响的实证研究》,《经济研究》第1期,第105~160页。
[7] 游家兴和吴静,2012,《沉默的螺旋:媒体情绪与资产错误定价》,《经济研究》第7期,第141~152页。
[8] 周开国、应千伟和陈晓娴,2014,《媒体关注度、分析师关注度与盈余预测准确度》,《金融研究》第2期,第139~152页。
[9] 周开国、应千伟和钟畅,2016,《媒体监督能够起到外部治理的作用吗?——来自中国上市公司违规的证据》,《金融研究》第6期,第193~206页。
[1] 陈工孟、俞欣和寇祥河,2011,《风险投资参与对中资企业首次公开发行折价的影响—不同证券市场的比较》,《经济研究》第5期,第74~85页。
[2] 才国伟、邵志浩和徐信忠,2015,《企业和媒体存在合谋行为吗?——来自中国上市公司媒体报道的间接证据》,《管理世界》第7期,第158~169页。
[3] 孔东民、刘莎莎和应千伟,2013,《公司行为中的媒体角色:激浊扬清还是推波助澜?》,《管理世界》第7期,第145~162页。
[4] 李培功和沈艺峰,2010,《媒体的公司治理作用:中国的经验证据》,《经济研究》第4期,第14~27页。
[5] 罗进辉,2012,《媒体报道的公司治理作用——双重代理成本视角》,《金融研究》第10期153~166页。
[6] 吴超鹏、吴世农、程静雅和王璐,2012,《风险投资对上市公司投融资行为影响的实证研究》,《经济研究》第1期,第105~160页。
[7] 游家兴和吴静,2012,《沉默的螺旋:媒体情绪与资产错误定价》,《经济研究》第7期,第141~152页。
[10] Ahern, Kenneth R., and Dennis Sosyura. 2014, “Who Writes the News? Corporate Press Releases During Merger Negotiations”, Journal of Finance, 69(1):241~291.
[8] 周开国、应千伟和陈晓娴,2014,《媒体关注度、分析师关注度与盈余预测准确度》,《金融研究》第2期,第139~152页。
[9] 周开国、应千伟和钟畅,2016,《媒体监督能够起到外部治理的作用吗?——来自中国上市公司违规的证据》,《金融研究》第6期,第193~206页。
[11] Barry, Christopher B. 1990, “The Role of Venture Capital in the Creation of Public Companies: Evidence from the Going-public Process”, Journal of Financial economics, 27(2):447~471.
[10] Ahern, Kenneth R., and Dennis Sosyura. 2014, “Who Writes the News? Corporate Press Releases During Merger Negotiations”, Journal of Finance, 69(1):241~291.
[12] Baum, Joel A. C., and Brian S. Silverman. 2004, “Picking Winners or Building Them? Alliance, Intellectual, and Human Capital as Selection Criteria in Venture Financing and Performance of Biotechnology Startups”, Journal of Business Venturing, 19(3):411~436.
[11] Barry, Christopher B. 1990, “The Role of Venture Capital in the Creation of Public Companies: Evidence from the Going-public Process”, Journal of Financial economics, 27(2):447~471.
[13] Bushee, Brian J., John E. Core, Wayne Guay, and Sophia J. W. Hamm. 2010, “The Role of the Business Press as an Information Intermediary”, Journal of Accounting Research, 48(1):1~19.
[12] Baum, Joel A. C., and Brian S. Silverman. 2004, “Picking Winners or Building Them? Alliance, Intellectual, and Human Capital as Selection Criteria in Venture Financing and Performance of Biotechnology Startups”, Journal of Business Venturing, 19(3):411~436.
[14] Dyck, Alexander, Natalya Volchkova, and Luigi Zingales. 2008, “The Corporate Governance Role of the Media: Evidence from Russia”, Journal of Finance, 63:1093~1135.
[13] Bushee, Brian J., John E. Core, Wayne Guay, and Sophia J. W. Hamm. 2010, “The Role of the Business Press as an Information Intermediary”, Journal of Accounting Research, 48(1):1~19.
[15] DellaVigna, Stefano, and Joshua M. Pollet. 2009, “Investor Inattention and Friday Earnings Announcements”, Journal of Finance, 64(2):709~749.
[14] Dyck, Alexander, Natalya Volchkova, and Luigi Zingales. 2008, “The Corporate Governance Role of the Media: Evidence from Russia”, Journal of Finance, 63:1093~1135.
[16] Da, Zhi, Joseph Engelberg, and Pengjie Gao. 2011, “In Search of Attention”, Journal of Finance, 66(5): 1461~1499.
[15] DellaVigna, Stefano, and Joshua M. Pollet. 2009, “Investor Inattention and Friday Earnings Announcements”, Journal of Finance, 64(2):709~749.
[17] Drake, Michael S., Nicholas M. Guest, and Brady J. Twedt. 2014, “The media and Mispricing: The Role of The Business Press in the Pricing of Accounting Information”, Accounting Review, 89(5):1673~1701.
[16] Da, Zhi, Joseph Engelberg, and Pengjie Gao. 2011, “In Search of Attention”, Journal of Finance, 66(5): 1461~1499.
[18] Fried, Vance H., and Robert D. Hisrich. 1994, “Toward a Model of Venture Capital Investment Decision Making”, Financial Management, 23(3):28~37.
[17] Drake, Michael S., Nicholas M. Guest, and Brady J. Twedt. 2014, “The media and Mispricing: The Role of The Business Press in the Pricing of Accounting Information”, Accounting Review, 89(5):1673~1701.
[19] Fang, Lily, and Joel Peress. 2009, “Media Coverage and the Cross-section of Stock Returns”, Journal of Finance, 64(5):2023~2052.
[18] Fried, Vance H., and Robert D. Hisrich. 1994, “Toward a Model of Venture Capital Investment Decision Making”, Financial Management, 23(3):28~37.
[20] Gompers, Paul A. 1996, “Grandstanding in the Venture Capital Industry”, Journal of Financial Economics, 42(1): 133~156.
[19] Fang, Lily, and Joel Peress. 2009, “Media Coverage and the Cross-section of Stock Returns”, Journal of Finance, 64(5):2023~2052.
[21] Gompers, Paul A., and Josh Lerner. 2006, The Venture Capital Cycle, 2nd, Cambridge Mass: MIT Press.
[20] Gompers, Paul A. 1996, “Grandstanding in the Venture Capital Industry”, Journal of Financial Economics, 42(1): 133~156.
[22] Gompers, Paul, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner, and David Scharfstein. 2010, “Performance Persistence in Entrepreneurship”, Journal of Financial Economics, 96(1):18~32.
[21] Gompers, Paul A., and Josh Lerner. 2006, The Venture Capital Cycle, 2nd, Cambridge Mass: MIT Press.
[23] Gurun, Umit G., and Alexander W. Butler. 2012, “Don't Believe the Hype: Local Media Slant, Local Advertising, and Firm Value”, Journal of Finance, 67(2):561~598.
[22] Gompers, Paul, Anna Kovner, Josh Lerner, and David Scharfstein. 2010, “Performance Persistence in Entrepreneurship”, Journal of Financial Economics, 96(1):18~32.
[24] Headd B. 2001, “Business Success: Factors Leading to Surviving and Closing Successfully”, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC.
[23] Gurun, Umit G., and Alexander W. Butler. 2012, “Don't Believe the Hype: Local Media Slant, Local Advertising, and Firm Value”, Journal of Finance, 67(2):561~598.
[25] Kaplan, Steven N., and Per Strömberg. 2003, “Financial Contracting Theory Meets the Real World: An Empirical Analysis of Venture Capital Contracts”, Review of Economic Studies, 70(2):281~315.
[24] Headd B. 2001, “Business Success: Factors Leading to Surviving and Closing Successfully”, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC.
[26] Kothari, S. P., Xu Li, and James E. Short. 2009, “The Effect of Disclosures by Management, Analysts, and Business Press on Cost of Capital, Return Volatility, and Analyst Forecasts: A Study Using Content Analysis”, The Accounting Review, 84(5):1639~1670.
[25] Kaplan, Steven N., and Per Strömberg. 2003, “Financial Contracting Theory Meets the Real World: An Empirical Analysis of Venture Capital Contracts”, Review of Economic Studies, 70(2):281~315.
[27] Lounsbury, Michael, and Mary Ann Glynn. 2001, “Cultural Entrepreneurship: Stories, Legitimacy, and the Acquisition of Resources”, Strategic Management Journal, 22 (6/7):545~564.
[26] Kothari, S. P., Xu Li, and James E. Short. 2009, “The Effect of Disclosures by Management, Analysts, and Business Press on Cost of Capital, Return Volatility, and Analyst Forecasts: A Study Using Content Analysis”, The Accounting Review, 84(5):1639~1670.
[28] Lee, Peggy M., and Sunil Wahal. 2004, “Grandstanding, Certification and the Underpricing of Venture Capital Backed IPOs”, Journal of Financial Economics, 73 (2):375~407.
[27] Lounsbury, Michael, and Mary Ann Glynn. 2001, “Cultural Entrepreneurship: Stories, Legitimacy, and the Acquisition of Resources”, Strategic Management Journal, 22 (6/7):545~564.
[29] Li, Haiyang, and Yan Zhang. 2007, “The Role of Managers' Political Networking and Functional Experience in New Venture Performance: Evidence from China's Transition Economy”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol.28(8), pp.791~804.
[28] Lee, Peggy M., and Sunil Wahal. 2004, “Grandstanding, Certification and the Underpricing of Venture Capital Backed IPOs”, Journal of Financial Economics, 73 (2):375~407.
[30] Luo, Yadong, Ying Huang, and Stephanie Lu Wang. 2012,“Guanxi and Organizational Performance: A Meta-Analysis”, Management and Organization Review, Vol.8(1), pp.139~172.
[29] Li, Haiyang, and Yan Zhang. 2007, “The Role of Managers' Political Networking and Functional Experience in New Venture Performance: Evidence from China's Transition Economy”, Strategic Management Journal, Vol.28(8), pp.791~804.
[31] Macmillan, Ian C., Robin Siegel, and P. N. Subba Narasimha. 1985, “Criteria Used by Venture Capitalists to Evaluate New Venture Proposals”, Journal of Business Venturing, Vol.1(1), pp.119~128.
[30] Luo, Yadong, Ying Huang, and Stephanie Lu Wang. 2012,“Guanxi and Organizational Performance: A Meta-Analysis”, Management and Organization Review, Vol.8(1), pp.139~172.
[32] Megginson, William L., and Kathleen A. Weiss. 1991, “Venture Capitalist Certification in Initial Public Offerings”, Journal of Finance, Vol.46(3), pp.879~903.
[31] Macmillan, Ian C., Robin Siegel, and P. N. Subba Narasimha. 1985, “Criteria Used by Venture Capitalists to Evaluate New Venture Proposals”, Journal of Business Venturing, Vol.1(1), pp.119~128.
[33] Miller, Gregory S. 2006, “The Press as a Watchdog for Accounting Fraud”, Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 44(5), pp. 1001~1033.
[32] Megginson, William L., and Kathleen A. Weiss. 1991, “Venture Capitalist Certification in Initial Public Offerings”, Journal of Finance, Vol.46(3), pp.879~903.
[34] Martens, Martin L., Jennifer E. Jennings, and P. Devereaux Jennings. 2007, “Do the Stories They Tell Get Them the Money They Need? The Role of Entrepreneurial Narratives in Resource Acquisition”, Academy of Management Journal, Vol.50(5), pp.1107~1132.
[33] Miller, Gregory S. 2006, “The Press as a Watchdog for Accounting Fraud”, Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 44(5), pp. 1001~1033.
[35] Nahata, R. 2008, “Venture Capital Reputation and Investment Performance”, Journal of Financial Economics, 90(2):127~151.
[34] Martens, Martin L., Jennifer E. Jennings, and P. Devereaux Jennings. 2007, “Do the Stories They Tell Get Them the Money They Need? The Role of Entrepreneurial Narratives in Resource Acquisition”, Academy of Management Journal, Vol.50(5), pp.1107~1132.
[36] Petkova, Antoaneta P. 2014, “How to Judge What Can’t Be Seen and Touched? The Contingent Effect of Media Reputation on Young Firms’ Access to Venture Capital”, Corporate Reputation Review, 17(4):273~289.
[35] Nahata, R. 2008, “Venture Capital Reputation and Investment Performance”, Journal of Financial Economics, 90(2):127~151.
[37] Rindova, Violina P., Ian O. Williamson, Antoaneta P. Petkova, and Joy Marie Sever. 2005, “Being Good or Being Known: An Empirical Examination of the Dimensions, Antecedents, and Consequences of Organizational Reputation”, The Academy of Management Journal, 48(6):1033~1049.
[36] Petkova, Antoaneta P. 2014, “How to Judge What Can’t Be Seen and Touched? The Contingent Effect of Media Reputation on Young Firms’ Access to Venture Capital”, Corporate Reputation Review, 17(4):273~289.
[38] Stuart, Toby E., Ha Hoang, and Ralph C. Hybels. 1999, “Interorganizational Endorsements and the Performance of Entrepreneurial Ventures”, Administrative Science Quarterly, 44(2):315~349.
[37] Rindova, Violina P., Ian O. Williamson, Antoaneta P. Petkova, and Joy Marie Sever. 2005, “Being Good or Being Known: An Empirical Examination of the Dimensions, Antecedents, and Consequences of Organizational Reputation”, The Academy of Management Journal, 48(6):1033~1049.
[38] Stuart, Toby E., Ha Hoang, and Ralph C. Hybels. 1999, “Interorganizational Endorsements and the Performance of Entrepreneurial Ventures”, Administrative Science Quarterly, 44(2):315~349.
[39] Sørensen, Morten. 2007, “How Smart is Smart Money? A Two-Sided Matching Model of Venture Capital.”, Journal of Finance, 62(6):2725~2762.
Sørensen, Morten. 2007, “How Smart is Smart Money? A Two-Sided Matching Model of Venture Capital.”, Journal of Finance, 62(6):2725~2762.
[40] Solomon, David H. 2012, “Selective Publicity and Stock Prices”, Journal of Finance, 67(2):599~638.
Solomon, David H. 2012, “Selective Publicity and Stock Prices”, Journal of Finance, 67(2):599~638.
[41] Tetlock, Paul C., Maytal Saar-Tsechansky, and Sofus Macskassy. 2008, “More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals”, Journal of Finance, 63(3):1437~1467.
Tetlock, Paul C., Maytal Saar-Tsechansky, and Sofus Macskassy. 2008, “More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals”, Journal of Finance, 63(3):1437~1467.
[42] Tetlock, Paul C. 2011, “All the News That's Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to Stale Information?”, Review of Financial Studies, 24(5):1481~1512.
Tetlock, Paul C. 2011, “All the News That's Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to Stale Information?”, Review of Financial Studies, 24(5):1481~1512.
[1] 何顶, 罗炜. 风险投资声誉和股价“传染”效应——来自中国上市公司立案公告的证据[J]. 金融研究, 2019, 471(9): 169-187.
[2] 罗进辉. 媒体报道与高管薪酬契约有效性[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 453(3): 190-206.
[3] 吴超鹏, 张媛. 风险投资对上市公司股利政策影响的实证研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 447(9): 178-191.
[4] 陆瑶, 张叶青, 贾睿, 李健航. “辛迪加”风险投资与企业创新[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 444(6): 159-175.
[5] 蔡宁, 何星. 社会网络能够促进风险投资的“增值”作用吗?——基于风险投资网络与上市公司投资效率的研究[J]. 金融研究, 2015, 426(12): 178-193.
[6] 赵静梅, 傅立立, 申宇. 风险投资与企业生产效率:助力还是阻力?[J]. 金融研究, 2015, 425(11): 159-174.
[1] 王曦, 朱立挺, 王凯立. 我国货币政策是否关注资产价格?——基于马尔科夫区制转换BEKK多元GARCH模型[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 1 -17 .
[2] 刘勇政, 李岩. 中国的高速铁路建设与城市经济增长[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 18 -33 .
[3] 况伟大, 王琪琳. 房价波动、房贷规模与银行资本充足率[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 34 -48 .
[4] 祝树金, 赵玉龙. 资源错配与企业的出口行为——基于中国工业企业数据的经验研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 49 -64 .
[5] 陈德球, 陈运森, 董志勇. 政策不确定性、市场竞争与资本配置[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 65 -80 .
[6] 牟敦果, 王沛英. 中国能源价格内生性研究及货币政策选择分析[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 81 -95 .
[7] 高铭, 江嘉骏, 陈佳, 刘玉珍. 谁说女子不如儿郎?——P2P投资行为与过度自信[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 96 -111 .
[8] 吕若思, 刘青, 黄灿, 胡海燕, 卢进勇. 外资在华并购是否改善目标企业经营绩效?——基于企业层面的实证研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 112 -127 .
[9] 姜军, 申丹琳, 江轩宇, 伊志宏. 债权人保护与企业创新[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 128 -142 .
[10] 刘莎莎, 孔高文. 信息搜寻、个人投资者交易与股价联动异象——基于股票送转的研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 143 -157 .
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
版权所有 © 《金融研究》编辑部
本系统由北京玛格泰克科技发展有限公司设计开发 技术支持:support@magtech.com.cn
京ICP备11029882号-1