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金融研究  2018, Vol. 462 Issue (12): 189-206    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
中国场内期权市场研究——基于中美关于期权隐含方差的差异
丛明舒
北京大学光华管理学院, 北京 100871
Research on China’s Option Market: Based on Two Empirical Differences about Option-Implied Variances between China and US
CONG Mingshu
Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
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摘要 本文对比了美国和中国关于期权隐含方差的两个典型理论规律所表现出的实证差异。首先,期权隐含方差作为公认的风险度量指标,应该与未来期间的股权溢价成正相关关系,在这一点上中美实证结果完全相反;其次,现代期权定价理论预测期权隐含方差应该高于标的资产实现方差,而中国市场期权隐含方差和实现方差的比值要显著低于美国。
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丛明舒
关键词:  期权隐含方差  股权溢价  风险收益权衡    
Abstract:  As the starting point of studying China’s option market, this paper compares two empirical differences about option-implied variances between China and US. The risk-return trade-off requires a positive relationship between option-implied variances and future equity premiums. Such a relation is validated in the US market but is violated in China. Also, modern option pricing theories predict higher option-implied variances than realized variances. Such an effect is weaker in China than in US. These two findings suggest some directions for future research on China’s option market.
Key words:  Option-Implied Variance    Equity Premium    Risk-Return Trade-off
JEL分类号:  G12   G13   G14  
基金资助: * 感谢匿名审稿人的宝贵意见。文责自负。
作者简介:  丛明舒,经济学博士,北京大学光华管理学院,Email:congmingshu@pku.edu.cn.
引用本文:    
丛明舒. 中国场内期权市场研究——基于中美关于期权隐含方差的差异[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 462(12): 189-206.
CONG Mingshu. Research on China’s Option Market: Based on Two Empirical Differences about Option-Implied Variances between China and US. Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 462(12): 189-206.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2018/V462/I12/189
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