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金融研究  2018, Vol. 461 Issue (11): 153-171    
  中国数字金融专题 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
现金贷果如洪水猛兽?——来自断点回归设计的证据
王靖一
北京大学国家发展研究院/北京大学数字金融研究中心,北京 100871
Cash Loan: Born Evil? Evidence from Regression Discontinuity
WANG Jingyi
National School of Development & Institute of Digital Finance, Peking University
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摘要 现金贷具有高利率、无抵押、无场景、线上放款的特性,近两年来饱受争议。一方面,现金货因其服务对象为中低收入者和弱势群体而具有一定的普惠特性,但另一方面,部分从业者无节制放贷则让行业逐步成为监管严管的对象。为了衡量现金贷利率对于贷款者贷款数量与逾期表现的影响,本文使用某现金贷公司2017年6月-9月全部贷款数据,利用其使用连续信用分对申请者进行分级、对不同信用等级赋予不同利率的特性,进行断点回归设计。研究发现贷款申请人对于利率有稳健的敏感性,同时道德风险并不明显,之后进一步从不同角度分析影响贷款人利率敏感性的因素,并依据实证结果提出相关政策建议。
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王靖一
关键词:  现金贷  断点回归  发薪日贷  金融科技    
Abstract:  Cash loans are controversial because of their high interest rates, unsecured, no-scenario, and totally online. On the one hand, its service objects have certain inclusive characteristics, and some unemployed lending by some practitioners make the industry gradually become the object of strict supervision. In order to measure the impact of the cash loan interest rate on the loaner's loan amount and overdue performance, we use the full loan data of April-August 2017 of a cash loan platform. We perform a regression discontinuity design. We find that as interest rates fall as the level rises, the amount of loans increases and the overdue rate decreases slightly, and this effect varies with loan maturities, interest rates, applicants' financial status, and media sentiment. Combining the research on the payday loan in the United States, we believe that cash loan satisfies the actual and rational needs of some people to a certain extent.
Key words:  Cash Loan    Payday Loan    FinTech    Regression Discontinuity
JEL分类号:  G02   G23   G24  
基金资助: * 本论文受到2018年国家社会科学基金重大项目《数字普惠金融的创新、风险与监管研究》(课题号18ZDA091)与北京大学数字金融研究中心课题《网络借贷风险缓释与市场情绪》的支持。
作者简介:  王靖一,经济学博士研究生,北京大学国家发展研究院,北京大学数字金融研究中心,Email:wangjingyi92@163.com.
引用本文:    
王靖一. 现金贷果如洪水猛兽?——来自断点回归设计的证据[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 461(11): 153-171.
WANG Jingyi. Cash Loan: Born Evil? Evidence from Regression Discontinuity. Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 461(11): 153-171.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2018/V461/I11/153
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