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金融研究  2018, Vol. 455 Issue (5): 172-190    
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经济政策不确定性与公司商业信用供给
陈胜蓝, 刘晓玲
内蒙古大学经济管理学院, 内蒙古呼和浩特 010021
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Trade Credit Extension
CHEN Shenglan, LIU Xiaoling
School of Economics and Management, Inner Mongolia University
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摘要 基于中国经济政策不确定性指数,本文使用2003–2015年上市公司季度数据考察经济政策不确定性如何影响公司商业信用供给决策。结果表明,经济政策不确定性的提高会显著减少公司提供的商业信用,外部融资环境和内部经营不确定性是这一影响的重要渠道。进一步分析发现,社会信任水平、地区金融发展程度和公司市场地位可以有效缓解二者之间的负向关系。而且,经济政策不确定性的提高还会导致公司缩短商业信用的供给期限。本文研究结果为宏观经济政策不确定条件下公司商业信用供给决策中成本和收益的权衡提供了新的经验证据,有助于政策制定者理解经济政策不确定性如何影响微观经济实体的财务决策。
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陈胜蓝
刘晓玲
关键词:  经济政策不确定性  商业信用供给  信任水平  市场地位    
Abstract:  Based on China's economic policy uncertainty index, this paper studies how economic policy uncertainty influences the company's trade credit supply decisions by using the quarterly data of listed companies from 2003 to 2015. The results show that economic policy uncertainty significantly reduces the trade credit provided by the companies. And its impact channel is through the deterioration of the company's external financing environment and operating uncertainty. Further research shows that the level of social trust, regional financial development degree and the company's market position can effectively alleviate the negative effects. Economic policy uncertainty also has a significant impact on the company's trade credit supply term. Our findings provide new evidence for the trade-off between cost and benefit when the firms provide trade credit under uncertain macroeconomic policy conditions, and contribute to the literature on economic policy and real economy, and are helpful to understand economic effect of economic policy uncertainty on corporate financial decision-makings.
Key words:  Economic Policy Uncertainty    Trade Credit Extension    Social Trust    Market Position
JEL分类号:  D81   G30   G32  
基金资助: 本文感谢教育部青年基金项目(17YJC630057)、教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”(NCET-11-0623)、对外经济贸易大学研究生科研创新基金(2017020)与国内外联合培养项目的资助。
作者简介:  陈胜蓝,(通讯作者),管理学博士,教授,内蒙古大学经济管理学院,Email: chen_shenglan@126.com.
刘晓玲,管理学硕士,内蒙古大学经济管理学院,Email: liuxiaoling0672@126.com.
引用本文:    
陈胜蓝, 刘晓玲. 经济政策不确定性与公司商业信用供给[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 455(5): 172-190.
CHEN Shenglan, LIU Xiaoling. Economic Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Trade Credit Extension. Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 455(5): 172-190.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2018/V455/I5/172
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