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金融研究  2018, Vol. 452 Issue (2): 190-206    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
高维的相关性建模及其在资产组合中的应用
潘志远, 毛金龙, 周彬蕊
西南财经大学中国金融研究中心/金融安全协同创新中心,四川成都 611130
Modeling High-dimensional Correlation and its Application to Asset Allocation
PAN Zhiyuan, MAO Jinlong, ZHOU Binrui
Institute of Chinese Financial Studies/Collaborative Innovation Center of Financial Security, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
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摘要 考虑高维相关结构的典型事实和可操作性,本文构建了机制转换的动态等相关(RS-DEC)模型,并给出了模型参数估计的步骤和大样本性质。RS-DEC模型不仅可以对高维资产建模,而且能够刻画资产间相关结构突变和非对称的特征。实证考察了上交所97只股票的组合问题。RS-DEC模型具有很好的样本内拟合效果,且平滑概率能提供相关结构变化的时点信息;与Na$\ddot{\shortmid}$ve(1/N)策略相比,基于Sharpe比和最小标准差的业绩评估标准,样本外测试显示RS-DEC模型能改善资产配置的绩效,显著性检验也支持了该结论。
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潘志远
毛金龙
周彬蕊
关键词:  动态等相关模型  机制转换  高维资产组合    
Abstract:  Taking account of some stylized facts in correlation processes and feasible implementation, a new regime switching dynamic equicorrelation (RS-DEC) model is proposed. Estimate procedures and large sample properties are also provided. RS-DEC model not only deals with high-dimensional correlation, but also takes account for structure break and asymmetry in correlation. In empirical work, we examine the asset allocation on 97 stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Our model can provide a better fit in sample, and give the information for correlations structure break; Comparing with Na$\ddot{\shortmid}$ve strategy, under Sharpe ratio and minimum standard error criteria, the results show that our model can improve the out-of-sample performance, and significant tests support these conclusions.
Key words:  Dynamic Equicorrelation Model    Regime Switching    High-dimensional Asset Allocation
JEL分类号:  C22   C51   G11  
基金资助: 本文感谢国家自然科学基金项目(71601161)和国家社科基金专项(18VSJ073)的资助
通讯作者:  潘志远,金融学博士,副教授,西南财经大学中国金融研究中心/金融安全协同创新中心,Email: panzhiyuan@swufe.edu.cn.   
作者简介:  毛金龙,博士研究生,西南财经大学中国金融研究中心,Email:mckinnon@sina.com.周彬蕊,博士研究生,西南财经大学中国金融研究中心,Email:rczxzbr@126.com.
引用本文:    
潘志远, 毛金龙, 周彬蕊. 高维的相关性建模及其在资产组合中的应用[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 452(2): 190-206.
PAN Zhiyuan, MAO Jinlong, ZHOU Binrui. Modeling High-dimensional Correlation and its Application to Asset Allocation. Journal of Financial Research, 2018, 452(2): 190-206.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2018/V452/I2/190
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