Imported Inputs,Productivity and RMB Exchange Rate Pass-through:An Empirical Study Based on Micro Firm-level Data
XIANG Xunyong, CHEN Ting
CHEN Feixiang(Institute of Industrial Economics,Jinan University;
College of Economics,Jinan University;
Antai College of Economics and Management,Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Abstract:
From the firm heterogeneity perspective, this paper studies the mechanism of RMB exchange rate pass-through in export market. Considering two heterogeneous firm characteristic—imported input share and productivity, and using firm-level micro data and highly disaggregated customs data from 2000 to 2006, this paper simultaneously analyzes how this two characteristics would affect RMB exchange rate pass-through. We find the pass-through is very high, and confirm that firms with higher import shares and higher productivity have lower exchange rate pass-through, the mechanism is that imported input share affect firm’s ability to hedge foreign exchange risk, and productivity is a key determinants of adjusting markup in export market.
Amiti,M.,Itskhoki,O.,and Konings,J,2014,“Importers,Exporters,and Exchange Rate Disconnect,” The American Economic Review,104(7): 1942~1978.
[9]
Arkolakis,C. and Muendler,M. A.,2010,“The Extensive Margin of Exporting Products: A Firm-level Analysis,” NBER Working Paper,No. 16641.
[10]
Auer, R. and Chaney T.,2009,“Exchange Rate Pass-Through in a Competitive Model of Pricing-to-Market,” Journal of Money,Credit and Banking,41 (s1): 151~175.
Berman,N.,Martin,P.,and Mayer,T,2012,“How Do Different Exporters React to Exchange Rate Changes?” The Quarterly Journal of Economics,127(1): 437~492.
[13]
Bernard, A. B.,Redding S. J. and Schott P. K.,2011,“Multiproduct Firms and Trade Liberalization,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics,126(3): 1271~1318.
[14]
Bernard,Andrew B.,Stephen J. Redding,and Peter K. Schott,2011,“Multiproduct Firms and Trade Liberalization,” Quarterly Journal of Economics,126 (3): 1271~1318.
[15]
Betts, C. and Devereux M. B,2000,“Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Model of Pricing-to-Market”,Journal of International Economics,50(1): 215~244.
[16]
Brandt,L.,Van Biesebroeck,J.,and Zhang,Y.,2012,“Creative Accounting or Creative Destruction? Firm-level Productivity Growth in Chinese Manufacturing,” Journal of Development Economics,97(2),339~351.
[17]
Burstein, A. and Jaimovich N.,2009,“Understanding Movements in Aggregate and Product-Level Real Exchange Rates”,Mimeo,UCLA and Stanford University.
[18]
Campa J. M. and Goldberg L. S.,2005,“Exchange Rate Pass-through into Import Prices,” Review of Economics and Statistics,87(4): 679~690.
[19]
Chatterjee A,Dix-Carneiro R,and Vichyanond J.,2013,“Multi-product Firms and Exchange Rate Fluctuations,” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy,5(2): 77~110.
[20]
Chen,N. and Juvenal,L.,2013,“Quality,Trade,and Exchange Rate Pass-Through,” CEPR Discussion Papers,No. 9744.
[21]
Choudhri,E. U. and Hakura,D. S.,2006,“Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices: Does the Inflationary Environment Matter?” Journal of International Money and Finance,25(4): 614~639.
[22]
Das M,Mark J. Roberts,and James R. Tybout,2007,“Market Entry Costs,Producer Heterogeneity and Export Dynamics,” Econometrica,75(3): 837~873.
[23]
De Loecker,J. and Warzynski,F.,2012,“Markups and Firm-Level Export Status,” The American Economic Review,102(6): 2437~2471.
[24]
De Loecker,Jan,Penny Goldberg,Amit Khandelwal,and Nina Pavcnik,2015,“Prices,Markups and Trade Reform,” Econometrica,forthcoming.
[25]
Devereux, M. B. and Engel C.,2003,“Monetary Policy in the Open Economy Revisited: Price Setting and Exchange-Rate Flexibility,” The Review of Economic Studies,70(4):765~783.
[26]
Dornbusch,R.,1987,“Exchange Rates and Prices,” The American Economic Review,Vol.77(1): 93~106.
[27]
Eckel,Carsten,Leonardo Iacavone,Beata Javorcik,and J. Peter Neary,2015,“Multiproduct Firms at Home and Away: Cost Versus Quality-Based Competence,” Journal of International Economics,95 (2): 216~232.
[28]
Eslava,Marcela,Cecilia Fieler,and Daniel Yi Xu,2014,“Trade,Skills and Quality Upgrading: A Theory with Evidence from Colombia,” NBER Working Paper,No. 19992.
[29]
Fitzgerald, D. and Haller S.,2014,“Pricing-to-Market: Evidence from Plant-Level Prices”,The Review of Economic Studies,81(2): 761~786.
[30]
Goldberg, P. K. and Hellerstein R.,2013,“A Structural Approach to Identifying the Sources of Local Currency Price Stability,” The Review of Economic Studies,80(1): 175~210.
[31]
Hottman, C,Redding S.J.,and Weinstein D.E.,2015,“Quantifying the Sources of Firm Heterogeneity,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics,forthcoming.
[32]
Johnson, Robert C., 2012, “Trade and Prices with Heterogeneous Firms,” Journal of International Economics, 86 (1), 43~56.
[33]
Khandelwal,Amit K.,2010,“The Long and Short (of) Quality Ladders,” Review of Economic Studies,77(4): 1450~1476.
[34]
Krugman,P. R.,1986,“Pricing to Market When the Exchange Rate Changes” NBER Working Paper,No.1926.
[35]
Levinsohn,J. and Petrin,A.,2003,“Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables,” The Review of Economic Studies,70(2): 317~341.
[36]
Li,H.,Ma,H.,and Xu,Y.,2015, “How Do Exchange Rate Movements Affect Chinese Exports?—A Firm-level Investigation,” Journal of International Economics,97(1): 148~161.
[37]
Ma,Y.,Tang,H. and Zhang,Y.,2014,“Factor Intensity,Product Switching,and Productivity: Evidence from Chinese exporters,” Journal of International Economics,92(2): 349~362.
[38]
Mayer,Thierry,Marc Melitz,and Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano,2014,“Market Size,Competition,and the Product Mix of Exporters,” American Economic Review,104 (2): 495~536.
[39]
Melitz,M. J. and Ottaviano G. I.,2008,“Market Size,Trade,and Productivity,” The Review of Economic Studies,75(1),295~316.
[40]
Melitz,M. J.,2003,“The Impact of Trade on Intra‐Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity,” Econometrica,71(6): 1695~1725.
[41]
Obstfeld M.,Rogoff K. S. and Wren-lewis S,1996,Foundations of International Macroeconomics,Cambridge: MIT press.
[42]
Olley,G. S. and Pakes,A.,1996,“The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry,” Econometrica,64(6): 1263~1297.
[43]
Schott,Peter K.,2004,“Across-product Versus Within-product Specialization in International Trade,” Quarterly Journal of Economics,119 (2): 647~678.
[44]
Taylor,M. P. and Peel,D. A.,2000,“Nonlinear Adjustment,Long-run Equilibrium and Exchange Rate Fundamentals,” Journal of international money and finance,19(1): 33~53.
[45]
Upward,R.,Wang,Z.,and Zheng,J.,2013,“Weighing China’s Export Basket: The Domestic Content and Technology Intensity of Chinese Exports,” Journal of Comparative Economics,41(2),527~543.
[46]
Yu,M.,2014,“Processing Trade,Tariff Reductions and Firm Productivity: Evidence from Chinese Firms,” The Economic Journal,125(585): 943~988.