Abstract:
This paper examines IPO firms' media tone during a particular time window in the IPO process as a proxy for investor sentiment at firm level, and analyzes how investor sentiment affects IPO underpricing. Consistent with existing literatures, negative media tone tends to have more robust explanation for IPO performance. In particular, we find that negative media tone is negatively and significantly related to IPO underpricing, over_funding ratio and underwriters' proceeds_ratio: negative media tone increases by 1%, underpricing decreases by 0.22%, over-funding ratio drops by 0.13%, and underwriting proceeds_ratio drops by 1.44% on average. We further show IPO firms and underwriters have strong incentives to promote IPO firms, which constitutes a driving factor of investor sentiment. We finally test the robustness of media tone as a proxy for investor sentiment.
Antweiler, Werner and Murray Z. Frank. 2004. “Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards”, Journal of Finance, 59(3):1259~1294.
[8]
Barber, Brad M. and Terrance Odean. 2008. “All that Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors”, Review of Financial Studies, 21(2):785~818.
[9]
Black Fischer. 1986. “Noise”, Journal of Finance, 41(1):529~543.
[10]
Campbell, John Y., Sanford J. Grossman, and Jiang Wang. 1993. “Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(4):905~939.
[11]
Cook, Douglas O., Robert Kieschnick, and Robert A. Van Ness. 2006. “On The Marketing of IPOs”, Journal of Financial Economics, 82(1):35~61.
[12]
De Long, J. Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence H. Summers, and Robert J. Waldmann. 1990, “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets”, Journal of Political Economy, 98:703~738.
[13]
Derrien, Francois. 2005. “IPO Pricing in ‘Hot’ Market Condition: Who Leaves Money on the Table” ,Journal of Finance, 60(1):487~521.
[14]
Dorn, Danie. 2009. “Does Sentiment Drive the Retail Demand for IPOs”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 44(1):85~108.
[15]
Dyck, Alexander and Luigi Zingales. 2003. “The Media and Asset Prices” Working Paper, HBS and University of Chicago.
[16]
Engelberg, Joseph E. and Christopher A. Parsons. 2011. “The Causal Impact of Media in Financial Markets” Journal of Finance, 66(1):67~97.
[17]
Fang, Lily, and Joel Peress. 2009. “Media coverage and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns”, Journal of Finance, 64(5):2023~2052.
[18]
Gaa, Charles. 2008. “Good News is No News: Asymmetric Inattention and the Neglected Firm Effect” Working Paper, University of British Columbia.
[19]
Garcia, Diego. 2013. “Sentiment during Recessions”, Journal of Finance, 68(3):1267~1300.
[20]
Hong, Harrison and Jeremy C. Stein. 1999. “A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in Asset Markets”, Journal of Finance, 54:2143~2184.
[21]
Larkin, Fiacc and Conor Ryan. 2008. “Good News: Using News Feeds with Genetic Programming to Predict Stock Prices” Genetic Programming, 49~60.
[22]
Ljungqvis,t Alexander, Vikram Nanda, and Rajdeep Singh. 2006. “Hot Markets Investor Sentiment and IPO Pricing”, Journal of Business, 79(4):1667~ 1702.
[23]
Liu, Laura Xiaolei, Ann E. Sherman, and Yong Zhang. 2009. “Media Coverage and IPO Underpricing” AFA 2009 San Francisco Meetings Paper.
[24]
Loughran, Tim and Jay Ritter. 2004. “Why Has IPO Underpricing Changed over Time”, Financial Management, 33(3):5~37.
[25]
Loughran, Tim and Bill McDonald. 2011. “When is a Liability not a Liability? Textual Analysis Dictionaries And 10-Ks”, Journal of Finance, 66(1):35~65.
[26]
Miller, Edward M.. 1977. “Risk Uncertainty and Divergence of Opinion” ,Journal of Finance, 32(4):1151~1168.
[27]
Odean, Terrance. 1998. “Volume, Volatility, Price and Profit, When All Traders are Above Average”, Journal of Finance, 53(6):1887~1934.
[28]
Pollock, Timothy G., and Violina P. Rindova. 2003. “Media Legitimation Effects in the Market for Initial Public Offerings” ,Academy of Management Journal, 46(5):631~642.
[29]
Ritter, Jay R.. 1991. “The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings”, Journal of Finance, 46(1):3~27.
[30]
Ritter, Jay and Ivo Welch. 2002. “A Review of IPO Activity Pricing and Allocation”, Journal of Finance, 57(14):1795~1828.
[31]
Tetlock, Paul C.. 2007. “Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: the Role of Media in the Stock Market” ,Journal of Finance, 62(3):1139~1168.
[32]
Tetlock, Paul C., Saar-Tsechansky, M., and Macskassy, S.. 2008. “More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals”, Journal of Finance, 63(3):1437~1467.