Please wait a minute...
金融研究  2017, Vol. 446 Issue (8): 1-18    DOI: 10.12094/1002-7246(2017)08-0001-18
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
离岸人民币区域影响力研究——基于信息溢出的视角
尹力博, 吴优
中央财经大学金融学院,北京 100081;
北京航空航天大学经济管理学院,北京 100191
The Research of Offshore RMB’s Regional Influence: An Perspective Based on Information Spillover
YIN Libo, WU You
School of Finance, Central University of Finance and Economics;
School of Economics and Management, Beihang University
下载:  PDF (2085KB) 
输出:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 人民币离岸市场的建设与发展是推动人民币国际化的必经之路。本文通过探讨离岸人民币与中国周边国家(地区)货币的溢出效应及其时变特征来定量分析离岸人民币的区域影响力,进而给人民币国际影响力的发挥提供借鉴。实证结果表明:(1)离岸人民币已经具备了区域性影响力,并且较在岸人民币的影响程度更高;(2)新加坡元、新台币和韩元等对离岸人民币的溢出效应均较强,也就是说离岸人民币尚不能称得上是区域性的锚货币。相关结果为发展香港离岸人民币市场、完善汇率形成机制以及协调中国对周边国家(地区)经济政治政策提供政策依据。
服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
尹力博
吴优
关键词:  离岸人民币  区域影响力  溢出效应  锚货币    
Abstract:  The development of offshore RMB financial market is the inevitable course to promote the internationalization of the RMB. We empirically investigate the regional influence of offshore RMB by discussing the spillover effects and its time-varying characteristics between offshore RMB and other currencies of neighboring countries and regions. The results indicate that the offshore RMB already has regional influence, which is superior to the onshore RMB’s influence. But the influence is limited for some Asian currencies have strong spillover effect to the offshore RMB, which means it can’t be called as a regional anchor currency. Relevant results provide the bases for developing the offshore RMB market, improving the formation mechanism of RMB, and coordinating the economic and political policies at different countries.
Key words:  Offshore RMB    Regional Influence    Spillover Effect    Anchor Currency
JEL分类号:  F31   F42   E58  
基金资助: 专项基金中央财经大学青年科研创新团队支持计划项目
作者简介:  尹力博(通讯作者),管理学博士,副教授,中央财经大学金融学院,Email:yinlibowsxbb@126.com.
吴 优,北京航空航天大学经济管理学院博士研究生,Email:wy357951@126.com.
引用本文:    
尹力博, 吴优. 离岸人民币区域影响力研究——基于信息溢出的视角[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 446(8): 1-18.
YIN Libo, WU You. The Research of Offshore RMB’s Regional Influence: An Perspective Based on Information Spillover. Journal of Financial Research, 2017, 446(8): 1-18.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/10.12094/1002-7246(2017)08-0001-18  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V446/I8/1
[3] 刘刚,2013,《东亚地区人民币集团形成进展判断——基于人民币对东亚货币汇率影响力的比较研究》,《经济科学》第2期,第70~80页。
[1] 丁剑平、赵亚英和杨振建,2009,《亚洲股市与汇市联动:MGARCH模型对多元波动的测试》,《世界经济》第5期,第83~95页。
[4] 刘华、李广众和陈广汉,2015,《香港离岸人民币汇率已经发挥影响力了吗?》,《国际金融研究》第10期,第3~11页。
[2] 简志宏和郑晓旭,2016,《汇率改革进程中人民币的东亚影响力研究——基于空间、时间双重维度动态关系的考量》,《世界经济研究》第3期,第61~69页。
[3] 刘刚,2013,《东亚地区人民币集团形成进展判断——基于人民币对东亚货币汇率影响力的比较研究》,《经济科学》第2期,第70~80页。
[4] 刘华、李广众和陈广汉,2015,《香港离岸人民币汇率已经发挥影响力了吗?》,《国际金融研究》第10期,第3~11页。
[5] 徐奇渊和杨盼盼,2016,《东亚货币转向钉住新的货币篮子?》,《金融研究》第3期,第31~41页。
徐奇渊和杨盼盼,2016,《东亚货币转向钉住新的货币篮子?》,《金融研究》第3期,第31~41页。
[6] 赵华,2007,《人民币汇率与利率之间的价格和波动溢出效应研究》,《金融研究》第3期,第41~49页。
赵华,2007,《人民币汇率与利率之间的价格和波动溢出效应研究》,《金融研究》第3期,第41~49页。
[7] Antonakakis, N. 2012. “Exchange Return Co-movements and Volatility Spillovers Before and After the Introduction of euro.” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 22(5): 1091~1109.
Antonakakis, N. 2012. “Exchange Return Co-movements and Volatility Spillovers Before and After the Introduction of euro.” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, 22(5): 1091~1109.
[8] Balasubramaniam, V., I.Patnaik, and A.Shah. 2011. “Who Cares about the Chinese Yuan?” Working paper, New Delhi: National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, No. 89.
Balasubramaniam, V., I.Patnaik, and A.Shah. 2011. “Who Cares about the Chinese Yuan?” Working paper, New Delhi: National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, No. 89.
[9] Boero, G., P.Silvapulle , and A.Tursunalieva. 2011. “Modelling the Bivariate Dependence Structure of Exchange Rates Before and After the Introduction of the Euro: a Semi-parametric Approach.” International Journal of Finance & Economics, 16(4): 357~374.
Boero, G., P.Silvapulle , and A.Tursunalieva. 2011. “Modelling the Bivariate Dependence Structure of Exchange Rates Before and After the Introduction of the Euro: a Semi-parametric Approach.” International Journal of Finance & Economics, 16(4): 357~374.
[10] Branson, W., and C.Healy. 2005. “Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy Coordination in ASEAN+1.” NBER working paper, No. 11713.
Branson, W., and C.Healy. 2005. “Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy Coordination in ASEAN+1.” NBER working paper, No. 11713.
[11] Chow, H. K. 2011. “Is There a Yuan Bloc in East Asia?” Working Paper, Singapore Management University.
Chow, H. K. 2011. “Is There a Yuan Bloc in East Asia?” Working Paper, Singapore Management University.
[12] Diebold, F. X., and K.Yilmaz. 2012. “Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers.” International Journal of Forecasting, 28(1): 57~66.
Diebold, F. X., and K.Yilmaz. 2012. “Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers.” International Journal of Forecasting, 28(1): 57~66.
[13] Diebold, F. X., and YilmazK. 2014. “On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms.” Journal of Econometrics, 182(1): 119~134.
Diebold, F. X., and YilmazK. 2014. “On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms.” Journal of Econometrics, 182(1): 119~134.
[14] Frankel, J. A., and S. J. Wei. 1994. “Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies.” In: Macroeconomic linkages: Savings, exchange rates and capital flows, University of Chicago Press, Eds. by T. Ito, & A. Krueger, pp.295~333.
Frankel, J. A., and S. J. Wei. 1994. “Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies.” In: Macroeconomic linkages: Savings, exchange rates and capital flows, University of Chicago Press, Eds. by T. Ito, & A. Krueger, pp.295~333.
[15] Henning, C. 2012. “Choice and Coercion in East Asian Exchange Rate Regimes.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper, No. 12~15.
Henning, C. 2012. “Choice and Coercion in East Asian Exchange Rate Regimes.” Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper, No. 12~15.
[16] Kitamura, Y. 2010. “Testing for Intraday Interdependence and Volatility Spillover among the Euro, the Pound and the Swiss Franc Markets.” Research in International Business and Finance, 24(2): 158~171.
Kitamura, Y. 2010. “Testing for Intraday Interdependence and Volatility Spillover among the Euro, the Pound and the Swiss Franc Markets.” Research in International Business and Finance, 24(2): 158~171.
[17] Shu, C., N.Chow, and J. Y.Chan. 2007. “Impact of the Renminbi Exchange Rate on Asian Currencies.” China Economic Issues, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, No. 3/07.
Shu, C., N.Chow, and J. Y.Chan. 2007. “Impact of the Renminbi Exchange Rate on Asian Currencies.” China Economic Issues, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, No. 3/07.
[18] Shu, C., D.He, and X.Cheng 2015.“One Currency, Two Markets: the Renminbi's Growing Influence in Asia-Pacific.” China Economic Review, 33: 163~178.
Shu, C., D.He, and X.Cheng 2015.“One Currency, Two Markets: the Renminbi's Growing Influence in Asia-Pacific.” China Economic Review, 33: 163~178.
[19] Subramanian, A., and M.Kessler. 2013. “The Renminbi Bloc is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go?” Journal of Globalization and Development, 4(1): 49~94.
Subramanian, A., and M.Kessler. 2013. “The Renminbi Bloc is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go?” Journal of Globalization and Development, 4(1): 49~94.
[20] Wang, J., and M. Yang. 2009. “Asymmetric Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Markets.” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 19(4): 597~615.
Wang, J., and M. Yang. 2009. “Asymmetric Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Markets.” Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 19(4): 597~615.
[1] 汝毅, 薛健, 张乾. 媒体新闻报道的声誉溢出效应[J]. 金融研究, 2019, 470(8): 189-206.
[2] 罗棪心, 麻志明, 王亚平. 券商跟踪海外上市公司对国内分析师盈余预测准确性的影响[J]. 金融研究, 2018, 458(8): 190-206.
[3] 张靖佳, 孙浦阳, 古芳. 欧洲量化宽松政策对中国企业出口影响——一个汇率网状溢出效应视角[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 447(9): 18-34.
[4] 褚剑, 方军雄, 于传荣. 卖空约束放松与银行信贷决策[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 450(12): 111-126.
[5] 王雄元, 彭旋. 稳定客户提高了分析师对企业盈余预测的准确性吗?[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 431(5): 156-172.
[6] 耿志祥, 孙祁祥. 金融危机和自然灾害对保险股票市场的影响与溢出效应检验[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 431(5): 65-81.
[1] 王曦, 朱立挺, 王凯立. 我国货币政策是否关注资产价格?——基于马尔科夫区制转换BEKK多元GARCH模型[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 1 -17 .
[2] 刘勇政, 李岩. 中国的高速铁路建设与城市经济增长[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 18 -33 .
[3] 况伟大, 王琪琳. 房价波动、房贷规模与银行资本充足率[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 34 -48 .
[4] 祝树金, 赵玉龙. 资源错配与企业的出口行为——基于中国工业企业数据的经验研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 49 -64 .
[5] 陈德球, 陈运森, 董志勇. 政策不确定性、市场竞争与资本配置[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 65 -80 .
[6] 牟敦果, 王沛英. 中国能源价格内生性研究及货币政策选择分析[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 81 -95 .
[7] 高铭, 江嘉骏, 陈佳, 刘玉珍. 谁说女子不如儿郎?——P2P投资行为与过度自信[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 96 -111 .
[8] 吕若思, 刘青, 黄灿, 胡海燕, 卢进勇. 外资在华并购是否改善目标企业经营绩效?——基于企业层面的实证研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 112 -127 .
[9] 姜军, 申丹琳, 江轩宇, 伊志宏. 债权人保护与企业创新[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 128 -142 .
[10] 刘莎莎, 孔高文. 信息搜寻、个人投资者交易与股价联动异象——基于股票送转的研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 449(11): 143 -157 .
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
版权所有 © 《金融研究》编辑部
本系统由北京玛格泰克科技发展有限公司设计开发 技术支持:support@magtech.com.cn
京ICP备11029882号-1