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金融研究  2017, Vol. 445 Issue (7): 140-155    DOI: 10.12094/1002-7246(2017)07-0140-16
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机构投资者信息共享会引来黑天鹅吗? ——基金信息网络与极端市场风险
陈新春, 刘阳, 罗荣华
西南财经大学金融学院/金融安全协同创新中心,四川成都 611130
Will Institutional Investors Information Sharing Draw Black Swan?:Fund Information Network and Extreme Market Risk
CHEN Xinchun, LIU Yang, LUO Ronghua
School of Finance/Collaborative Innovation Center of Financial Security;
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
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摘要 极端风险的形成机理是学术界和业界共同关心的重要问题,本文通过构建以重仓股为链接的基金信息网络模型,研究了机构投资者之间的信息联系和传递对极端风险的影响机制。本文的结果表明:基金持股之间的信息网络密度不仅会增加股票总体和特质风险,而且会显著加大股票极端下跌和极端上涨的概率,其中对极端下跌市场的影响更大,也即基金之间的信息共享机制容易引发黑天鹅事件。此外还发现,当流动性成为极端市场风险的主要推手时,基金信息共享机制对极端市场的影响变得不再显著,因此基金信息共享机制与流动性二者之间对极端市场的形成存在着替代效应。本文的研究结果不仅有助于更好理解我国机构投资者的作用,对加强市场风险管理、丰富投资交易策略也有一定启示。
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陈新春
刘阳
罗荣华
关键词:  机构投资者  网络结构  极端风险    
Abstract:  Market extreme risk is an important issue in academia and industry. This paper examines stock heterogeneous risk and extreme risk through the perspective of institutional investor's information network. We find that stocks with a larger network density demonstrate stronger overall risk, heterogeneous risk and extreme risk as well. Especially, compared to the extreme upside risk, the network density has larger influence on the extreme downside risk, which means the information between the mutual funds more easily lead to black swan. Besides, under different liquidity level, there is an alternative effect on the market extreme risk between the liquidity factor and mutual funds information sharing mechanism. Our conclusions help to understanding the role of institutional investors in China, shedding light on market risk management and enriching investment trading strategies.
Key words:  Institutional Investor    Network Structure    Extreme Risk
JEL分类号:  G11   G14   G32  
基金资助: 国家自然科学基金项目(71532001)
作者简介:  陈新春,博士研究生,西南财经大学金融学院,Email:chxc_012@163.com.刘 阳,副教授,西南财经大学金融学院、金融安全协同创新中心,Email:liuyangjr@swufe.edu.cn.罗荣华(通讯作者),教授,西南财经大学金融学院,Email:ronghua@swufe.edu.cn.
引用本文:    
陈新春, 刘阳, 罗荣华. 机构投资者信息共享会引来黑天鹅吗? ——基金信息网络与极端市场风险[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 445(7): 140-155.
CHEN Xinchun, LIU Yang, LUO Ronghua. Will Institutional Investors Information Sharing Draw Black Swan?:Fund Information Network and Extreme Market Risk. Journal of Financial Research, 2017, 445(7): 140-155.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/10.12094/1002-7246(2017)07-0140-16  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V445/I7/140
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