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金融研究  2017, Vol. 442 Issue (4): 61-77    DOI: 10.12094/1002-7246(2017)04-0061-17
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制度质量和国际金融机构如何影响PPP项目的成效——基于“一带一路”46国经验数据的研究
罗煜, 王芳, 陈熙
中国人民大学财政金融学院,北京 100872
How Quality of Institution and Multilateral Financial Institutions Influence the Success of PPP Projects: an Empirical Study Based on 46 Countriesalong “the Belt and Road”
LUO Yu, WANG Fang, CHEN Xi
School of Finance, Renmin University of China
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摘要 我们基于“一带一路”沿线46个发展中国家2002-2013年2485个政府和社会资本合作(PPP)基础设施项目的数据,探究被投资国的制度质量和国际金融机构的参与度如何影响PPP项目的成效。实证研究发现:(1)过往PPP项目经验影响未来PPP项目成功的概率,有过成功PPP项目经验的国家未来开展PPP项目时成功的概率会提升,失败的经验则有相反结果;(2)私人部门在PPP项目中承担的风险越多,PPP项目越容易失败,制度质量可以通过影响私人部门风险分担程度选择进而影响PPP的成效;(3)制度质量对私人部门在PPP项目中的风险分担程度有混合影响,法治水平、政府效率、政府控制腐败和促进私人部门发展的能力越高,私人部门越倾向于选择更多的风险承担,但在越符合西方民主标准的国家,私人部门越倾向于选择较低的风险承担;(4)在国际多边金融机构参与提供融资的PPP项目中,私人投资者会选择更高的风险分担程度。
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罗煜
王芳
陈熙
关键词:  制度质量  国际金融机构  政府和社会资本合作(PPP)  一带一路    
Abstract:  Based on data of 2485 Public-Private Partnership (PPP) projects in 46 developing countries along “the Belt and Road” from 2002 to 2013, we empirically investigate the effect of institutional factors and international financial institutions in the success of PPP projects. We find out that: (1) Countries with more positive experiences are more likely to succeed the following PPP project; (2) PPP projects are more likely to fail with higher degree of private sectors’ risk sharing; quality of institution influences the success of PPP by directly influencing private sectors’ risk sharing; (3) Institutional quality of the investment destination has mixed impact on the degree of private sectors’ risk sharing in PPP projects; specifically, increased rule of law, higher bureaucratic effectiveness, stronger control over corruption and better support to private sectors’ development are more likely to encourage private entities to shoulder more risks within the partnership, however, the democracy level of counties presents the contrary effect;(4) Multilateral financial institutions are positive factors to private sectors during choosing risk structure.
Key words:  Quality of Institution    Multilateral Financial Institutions    Public-Private Partnership (PPP)    the Belt and Road
JEL分类号:  O1   F2   G2  
基金资助: 马克思主义理论研究和建设工程重大项目(2015MZD033)、中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金)项目(15XNF001)
作者简介:  罗煜,经济学博士,讲师,中国人民大学财政金融学院、中国财政金融政策研究中心、国际货币研究所,Email:luoyu2011@ruc.edu.cn.王芳(通讯作者),经济学博士,副教授,中国人民大学财政金融学院、中国财政金融政策研究中心、国际货币研究所,Email:wangfruc@ruc.edu.cn.陈熙,美国杜克大学经济系研究生,Email:xi.ronnie.chen@duke.edu.
引用本文:    
罗煜, 王芳, 陈熙. 制度质量和国际金融机构如何影响PPP项目的成效——基于“一带一路”46国经验数据的研究[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 442(4): 61-77.
LUO Yu, WANG Fang, CHEN Xi. How Quality of Institution and Multilateral Financial Institutions Influence the Success of PPP Projects: an Empirical Study Based on 46 Countriesalong “the Belt and Road”. Journal of Financial Research, 2017, 442(4): 61-77.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/10.12094/1002-7246(2017)04-0061-17  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V442/I4/61
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