Abstract:
This paper studies the relationship between urbanization and population growth in a dual economy that incorporates the substitution relationship between quantity and quality in fertility choice. Rural labors move to urban area and take the advantage of the externality of human capital accumulation. It contributes the fertility inequality between rural area and urban area, leading to the demographic transition during the course of urbanization. As the urbanization rate increases, the effect of urbanization on the demographic transition decreases. It implies that China’s government should further relax the constraint on the fertility rate and remove the barriers to the urbanization.
郭凯明, 余靖雯. 城镇化过程中人口增长趋势转变与人口政策[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 430(4): 17-33.
GUO Kaiming, YU Jingwen. Demographic Transition during the Course of Urbanization and the Population Policy. Journal of Financial Research, 2016, 430(4): 17-33.
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