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金融研究  2016, Vol. 429 Issue (3): 15-30    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
汇率波动、金融市场化与出口
谭小芬, 王雅琦, 卢冰
中央财经大学金融学院,北京 100081
Exchange Rate Volatility, Financial Marketization and Export
TAN Xiaofen, WANG Yaqi, LU Bing
School of Finance, Central University of Finance and Economics
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摘要 本文基于高度细化的企业-产品-出口目的地层面海关出口交易数据,考察2002-2009年间汇率波动对我国企业出口的影响。结果表明,当中国与目的地汇率波动增加时,中国企业出口额、出口产品的种类都会显著减少,并且在产品结构上企业出口会更多集中于核心产品,而金融市场化程度的提高会显著抑制汇率波动的负面作用。当金融市场化水平从平均值提高10%,企业出口额、出口产品种类、产品集中度相对于汇率波动的弹性分别降低30.4%、37.5%和35.7%。本文在微观层面上为加快国内金融市场化进程、降低信贷约束提供了支持。
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谭小芬
王雅琦
卢冰
关键词:  汇率波动  金融市场化  出口额  出口产品种类  产品集中度    
Abstract:  Based on highly disaggregate transaction level data, we explore the effect of exchange rate volatility on Chinese export during 2002-2009. We find that both the export value and the scope of products decrease for destinations with higher exchange rate volatility. Meanwhile, exports are more focused on the products with core competency. This effect is dampened when the level of financial marketization is higher. When the level of financial marketization increases by 10% from the average value,the exchange rate volatility elasticities of export value,product scope and product skewness reduce by 30.4%,37.5%and 35.7% respectively.Our results provide a micro-level support for the financial marketization and the relaxation of credit constraint.
Key words:  Exchange Rate Volatility    Financial Marketization    Export Value    Product Scope    Product Skewness
JEL分类号:  F31   F41   L25  
基金资助: 本文感谢国家社会科学基金一般项目(12BGJ042)、2012年教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-12-0994)、教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“中国资本账户开放进程安排和风险防范研究”(14JZD016)、北京高等学校青年英才计划(YETP0994)、中央财经大学重大科研课题培育项目(基础理论类:项目号14ZZD004)、中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金、中央财经大学青年科研创新团队支持计划、中央财经大学青年教师发展基金“害怕升值?—人民币汇率变动对于我国制造业影响的微观分析”(020250315030)的资助
作者简介:  谭小芬,中央财经大学金融学院教授、经济学博士,Email:xiaofent@163.com.王雅琦,中央财经大学金融学院讲师、经济学博士,Email:yakisunny@126.com.卢 冰,通讯作者,中央财经大学金融学院,Email:lubing_1994@163.com.
引用本文:    
谭小芬, 王雅琦, 卢冰. 汇率波动、金融市场化与出口[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 429(3): 15-30.
TAN Xiaofen, WANG Yaqi, LU Bing. Exchange Rate Volatility, Financial Marketization and Export. Journal of Financial Research, 2016, 429(3): 15-30.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V429/I3/15
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