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金融研究  2017, Vol. 450 Issue (12): 191-206    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
内部控制质量影响了分析师行为吗?——来自中国证券市场的经验证据
董望, 陈俊, 陈汉文
浙江大学管理学院,浙江杭州 310058;
对外经贸大学国际商学院,北京 100029
Does Internal Control Quality Affect Analyst Behavior?:Evidence from China
DONG Wang, CHEN Jun, CHEN Hanwen
School of Management, Zhejiang University;
Business School, University of International Business and Economics
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摘要 本文以2007-2016年A股上市公司为样本,从分析师跟踪、盈余预测精确度和分歧度三个方面考察了内控质量对分析师行为的影响。研究结果表明,内控质量越高的公司能够吸引更多的分析师跟随;内控质量更高的公司分析师的盈余预测也显著更为准确,不过上述经验关系只存在于高估实际盈余的样本组中;没有明显的证据表明内控质量影响了分析师预测分歧度。本文在拓展内部控制经济后果研究和分析师决策过程研究的同时,研究结论也对当前的市场监管具有一定的政策启示意义。
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董望
陈俊
陈汉文
关键词:  内部控制  分析师跟踪  盈余预测    
Abstract:  This paper examines the relation between internal control quality, the number of analysts following, accuracy of analyst earnings forecasts and forecast dispersion. Using a sample of A-share listed firms from 2007 to 2016, we find that: First, firms with better internal control attract more analysts. Second, analysts forecast accuracy is positively related to internal control quality. However, this positive relation only exists in the overestimated subsample. Third, forecast dispersion is not significantly related to internal control quality. This study not only contributes to the literature on both analyst behavior and internal control, but also offers valuable implications to regulars.
Key words:  Internal Control    Analysts Following    Earnings Forecasts
JEL分类号:  G24   M42   M41  
基金资助: *董望感谢国家自然科学基金(编号:71302060)的资助,陈俊感谢国家自然科学基金(编号:71572181)和教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(编号:12YJC790138)的资助,陈汉文感谢国家自然科学基金重点项目(编号:71332008),教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(编号:10JJD630003)的资助; 感谢匿名审稿人的宝贵建议,当然文责自负
作者简介:  董 望,管理学博士,浙江大学管理学院副教授,Email:dowon1211@zju.edu.cn陈 俊(通讯作者),管理学博士,浙江大学管理学院副教授,Email:chenjun332@zju.edu.cn.陈汉文,经济学博士,对外经贸大学国际商学院教授,Email:hwchen@uibe.edu.cn.
引用本文:    
董望, 陈俊, 陈汉文. 内部控制质量影响了分析师行为吗?——来自中国证券市场的经验证据[J]. 金融研究, 2017, 450(12): 191-206.
DONG Wang, CHEN Jun, CHEN Hanwen. Does Internal Control Quality Affect Analyst Behavior?:Evidence from China. Journal of Financial Research, 2017, 450(12): 191-206.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2017/V450/I12/191
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