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金融研究  2016, Vol. 436 Issue (10): 127-142    
  本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
中国企业的市场存活分析:中间品进口重要吗?
许家云, 毛其淋
清华大学公共管理学院,北京 100084;南开大学国际经济研究所,天津 300071
An Analysis of Chinese Firms’ Survival: Is Intermediate
Input Import Important?
XU Jiayun, MAO Qilin
Public Management School,Tsinghua University;
Institute of International Economics, Nankai University
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摘要 本文基于2000—2007年中国工业企业微观数据和海关贸易数据,采用倾向得分匹配与生存分析方法系统研究了中间品进口对企业生存的微观影响。研究发现中间品进口显著延长了企业的经营持续时间。进一步引入中间品质量差异性和贸易方向的研究表明,中间品进口对企业经营持续时间的正向作用与进口中间品的质量水平呈正比,并且中间产品进口对双向贸易企业生存持续期的影响大于单向贸易企业,对加工贸易企业生存持续期的影响大于一般贸易企业。基于中介效应模型的传导机制检验,认为“成本节约效应”和“技术溢出效应”是中间品进口促进企业市场存活的重要渠道。最后,引入行业差异化的检验结果显示,相比于异质性产品行业的企业,中间产品进口对同质性产品行业中企业生存的积极影响更大,而高质量的中间品进口和双向贸易模式可以进一步强化上述作用。
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许家云
毛其淋
关键词:  中间品进口  企业生存  技术溢出  产品差异化    
Abstract:  Based on the firm-level micro data and highly disaggregated customs data from 2000 to 2007, this paper analyzes the effects of the intermediate input imports on Chinese firms’ survival with the method of propensity score matching (PSM) and survival analysis. The results show that, intermediate input import is good for firms’ survival on the whole. Taking the quality of intermediate input and trade direction into account, we find that only high quality intermediate input import benefit for firms’ survival significantly, while low quality intermediate input imports raises the risk rate of the firms exiting market. Also, firms’ two way trade behavior increases survival time comparing with one way trade behavior, and processing trade increases survival time comparing with ordinary trade. Furthermore, the transmission mechanism test show that "cost-saving effect" and "technology spillover effect" are the two important channels for why intermediate input imports improve firms’ survival. Lastly, we further introduce heterogeneous industries into our study, and finds that compared with homogenous industries, the heterogeneous industries make higher improvement to firms’ survival. Also, the high quality of intermediate input and two-way trade mode can strengthen the above effect.
Key words:  Intermediate Input Imports    Firms’ Survival    Technology Spillover    Heterogeneous Products
JEL分类号:  D21   F10   C33  
基金资助: *本文感谢国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403135)、中国博士后科学基金面上一等资助项目(2016M590076)以及教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(16YJC790114)的资助。感谢匿名审稿人的宝贵修改意见。文责自负。
通讯作者:  毛其淋,通讯作者,经济学博士,南开大学国际经济研究所、中国特色社会主义协同创新中心,副教授,Email:maoqilin@nankai.edu.cn.   
作者简介:  许家云,经济学博士,清华大学公共管理学院、国情研究院,助理研究员,Email:xujiayun321@163.com.
引用本文:    
许家云, 毛其淋. 中国企业的市场存活分析:中间品进口重要吗?[J]. 金融研究, 2016, 436(10): 127-142.
XU Jiayun, MAO Qilin. An Analysis of Chinese Firms’ Survival: Is Intermediate
Input Import Important?. Journal of Financial Research, 2016, 436(10): 127-142.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2016/V436/I10/127
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