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金融研究  2023, Vol. 521 Issue (10): 125-144    
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取消强制评级政策、评级机构声誉与信用评级质量 ——基于中国债券市场的实证研究
连立帅, 朱松
华东师范大学经济与管理学院, 上海 200062
The Abolition of Mandatory Credit Ratings, Rating Agency Reputation, and Credit Rating Quality: Evidence from China's Bond Market
LIAN Lishuai, ZHU Song
School of Economics and Management, East China Normal University
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摘要 如何完善对债券信用评级机构的监管,从而提升信用评级质量、促进评级行业高质量发展,是国内监管机构迫切关注的问题。2021年开始我国调整了债券发行强制评级要求,在保留对主体评级强制选择的同时,将债项评级的选择由强制调整为自愿,这一政策的实施,将长期影响评级市场的竞争格局以及评级机构的迎合行为。针对强制评级政策的调整,本文研究发现:取消债项强制评级后,保留债项评级的发行人数量与债项评级质量均下降;而当评级机构声誉较高时,信用评级质量下降程度较低。异质性分析显示,上述关系主要存在于评级机构竞争程度高、客户重要程度高及首次发行的情形。本文还发现,取消债项强制评级后,保留债项评级的发行人评级膨胀,会降低债券融资成本,表明债券市场并未充分意识到信用评级存在膨胀问题,促使发行人寻求虚高信用评级。本文的结论表明,取消债项强制评级政策一方面会增强评级机构之间的竞争程度及评级机构的迎合动机,短期降低了信用评级质量,但另一方面债项评级的选择由强制调整为自愿之后,评级市场的声誉机制能够发挥作用,长期而言有利于“市场驱动”的信用评级质量提升。
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连立帅
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关键词:  取消强制评级政策  评级机构声誉  信用评级质量  评级监管    
Summary:  Given the important role of credit ratings in mitigating information asymmetry, regulation relies on such ratings, as reflected in regulatory conditions being set based on credit ratings in the bond issuance process. This is manifested in three aspects of the process: first, the issuer needs to provide a credit rating in the bond issuance process; second, the success of bond issuance depends on the credit rating; and third, the issuer is required to provide simultaneously both issuer and facility ratings. Although the regulation requiring credit ratings as a criteria for bond issuance aims to improve issuance quality, it raises a series of issues. First, to meet the requirements for bond issuance, credit ratings are concentrated at specific thresholds. For example, because the regulatory requirement for bond issuance is that the credit rating is not lower than AA, the majority of bonds in the Chinese market are rated AA and above. This is problematic because it leads to insufficient differentiation in credit ratings, which cannot accurately reflect the default risk of issuers. In addition, it can result in credit rating inflation, reducing the quality of credit ratings. The aim of disclosing facility credit ratings and guarantees is not to provide incremental information but to enable issuers to enhance their credit to achieve a higher rating if their initial rating is insufficient, and thus to improve the overall credit rating and increase the success rate of bond issuance. The People's Bank of China clearly pointed out in December 2020 that “problems such as false high ratings, insufficient differentiation and weak pre-warning function have restricted the high-quality development of China's bond market.”
In response to these issues, the credit rating regulation policy was adjusted in 2021. On February 26, 2021, the “Management Measures for the Issuance and Trading of Corporate Bonds” were revised, abolishing the mandatory provisions on credit ratings for public issuance of corporate bonds. On March 26, 2021, the “Notice on the Implementation of Arrangements for Canceling Compulsory Ratings of Debt Financing Instruments” pointed out that in the issuance process, the mandatory disclosure requirements for facility rating reports would be canceled, and the disclosure requirements for issuer rating reports would be retained. On August 11, 2021, the People's Bank of China decided to pilot the cancellation of the credit rating requirements for the issuance of non-financial enterprise debt financing instruments. The main purpose of the policy canceling the mandatory facility rating in the issuance process is to change the disclosure of facility credit ratings from mandatory to voluntary. Thus, the policy removes the regulatory role in facility credit ratings but, by retaining issuers' credit ratings, it enables the voluntary disclosure of facility credit ratings to provide incremental information.
This paper finds that after the implementation of the mandatory rating policy, the quality of ratings of issuers that retain the facility rating declines, and credit rating quality decreasing is lower when the reputation of the rating agency is high. The heterogeneity analysis shows that the above relationship mainly holds when there is a high degree of competition among rating agencies, the level of customer importance is high, bond issuance is the issuer's initial issuance. Finally, this paper shows that after the implementation of the mandatory facility rating policy, for issuers that retain facility ratings, the inflated credit rating reduces the financing cost of bonds, indicating that the bond market is not fully aware of credit rating inflation, prompting issuers to seek inflated credit ratings.
The results of the paper indicate that, on the one hand, the abolition of the mandatory facility rating policy enhances the degree of competition among rating agencies and the motivation of rating agencies to cater to issuers, and thus reduces the quality of credit ratings in the short term. On the other hand, once the selection of a facility rating is made voluntary, the reputation mechanism of the rating market is conducive to a “market-driven” improvement in credit rating quality in the long run.
Keywords:  Abolition of Mandatory Rating    Reputation of Rating Agencies    Credit Rating Quality    Credit Rating Regulation
JEL分类号:  G28   L14   M21  
基金资助: * 本文感谢国家社会科学基金项目一般项目(22BGL086)、教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(18YJA630156)、上海市“科技创新行动计划”软科学研究项目(23692107500)与中国博士后科学基金(2020M671065)的资助。感谢匿名审稿人的宝贵意见,文责自负。
作者简介:  连立帅,管理学博士,副教授,华东师范大学经济与管理学院,E-mail:lslian@dbm.ecnu.edu.cn.
朱 松,管理学博士,教授,华东师范大学经济与管理学院,E-mail:szhu@dbm.ecnu.edu.cn.
引用本文:    
连立帅, 朱松. 取消强制评级政策、评级机构声誉与信用评级质量 ——基于中国债券市场的实证研究[J]. 金融研究, 2023, 521(10): 125-144.
LIAN Lishuai, ZHU Song. The Abolition of Mandatory Credit Ratings, Rating Agency Reputation, and Credit Rating Quality: Evidence from China's Bond Market. Journal of Financial Research, 2023, 521(10): 125-144.
链接本文:  
http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/  或          http://www.jryj.org.cn/CN/Y2023/V521/I10/125
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