|
|
Short Selling and Earnings Quality:Evidence from Corporate Financial Restatement |
ZHANG Xuan, ZHOU Peng, LI Chuntao
|
School of Statistics and Mathematics / School of Finance, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law |
|
|
Abstract Using a firm-level dataset from 2006 to 2014 in China, this research examines the impact of short selling on the behavior of corporate financial restatement. After controlling for possible endogeneity issues with a placebo test and a Difference-in-Differences approach, we document a negative, causal effect from short selling to the probability of corporate financial restatement. We further find that the effect is more pronounced for firms with weaker corporate governance and for firms from regions with less developed financial market. A robust check further confirms the previous findings, where we use both accruals and whether the firm has reported a small positive profit as additional measures for earnings quality. Moreover, we find a more efficient incentive mechanism and more analyst coverage are among possible underlying channels through which short selling affects the behaviors of managers as wellas wrporate's financial restatement. This research calls for a relaxation to short selling to foster a stable equity market in China.
|
Received: 28 January 2016
Published: 01 January 1900
|
|
|
|
[1] |
白重恩、刘俏、陆洲、宋敏和张俊喜,2005,《中国上市公司治理结构的实证研究》,《经济研究》第2期,第81~91页。
|
[2] |
陈国进和张贻军,2009,《异质信念, 卖空限制与我国股市的暴跌现象研究》,《金融研究》第4期,第80~91页。
|
[3] |
陈晖丽和刘峰,2014,《融资融券的治理效应研究——基于公司盈余管理的视角》,《会计研究》第9期,第45~52页。
|
[4] |
古志辉、郝项超和张永杰,2011,《卖空约束, 投资者行为和 A 股市场的定价泡沫》,《金融研究》第2期,第129~148页。
|
[5] |
李春涛、宋敏和张璇,2014,《分析师跟踪与企业盈余管理——来自中国上市公司的证据》,《金融研究》第7期,第124~139页。
|
[6] |
李科、徐龙炳和朱伟骅,2014,《卖空限制与股票错误定价——融资融券制度的证据》,《经济研究》第10期,第165~178页。
|
[7] |
Agrawal A., J. F. Jaffe and J. M. Karpoff, 1999, “Management Turnover and Governance Changes Following the Revelation of Fraud,” The Journal of Law and Economics, 42(1):309~342.
|
[8] |
Ahmed K. and J. Goodwin, 2007, “An Empirical Investigation of Earnings Restatements by Australian Firms,” Accounting and Finance, 47(1):1~22.
|
[9] |
Boehmer E. and J. J. Wu, 2013, “Short Selling and the Price Discovery Process,” Review of Financial Studies, 26(2):287~322.
|
[10] |
Burns N. and S. Kedia, 2006, “The Impact of Performance-based Compensation on Misreporting,” Journal of Financial Economics, 79(1):35~67.
|
[11] |
Chang E. C., T. C. Lin and X. Ma, 2015, “Does Short-selling Threat Discipline Managers in Mergers and Acquisitions Decisions?,” Working paper.
|
[12] |
Chen T., J. Harford and C. Lin, 2015, “Do Analysts Matter for Governance? Evidence from Natural Experiments,” Journal of Financial Economics, 115(2):383~410.
|
[13] |
Christophe S. E., M. G. Ferri and J. J. Angel, 2004, “Short-selling Prior to Earnings Announcements,” The Journal of Finance, 59(4):1845~1876.
|
[14] |
Christophe S. E., M. G. Ferri and J. Hsieh, 2010, “Informed Trading before Analyst Downgrades: Evidence from Short Sellers,” Journal of Financial Economics, 95(1):85~106.
|
[15] |
Cohen L., K. B. Diether and C. J. Malloy, 2007, “Supply and Demand Shifts in the Shorting Market,” The Journal of Finance, 62(5):2061~2096.
|
[16] |
De Angelis D., G. Grullon and S. Michenaud, 2015, “The Effects of Short-selling Threats on Incentive Contracts: Evidence from A Natural Experiment,” Working paper.
|
[17] |
DeFond M. L. and J. Jiambalvo, 1994, “Debt Covenant Violation and Manipulation of Accruals,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 17(1):145~176.
|
[18] |
Dechow P., W. Ge and C. Schrand, 2010, “Understanding Earnings Quality: A Review of the Proxies, Their Determinants and Their Consequences,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 50(2):344~401.
|
[19] |
Dechow P. M., R. G. Sloan and A. P. Sweeney, 1996, “Causes and Consequences of Earnings Manipulation: An Analysis of Firms Subject to Enforcement Actions by the SEC,” Contemporary Accounting Research, 13(1):1~36.
|
[20] |
Desai H., C. E. Hogan and M. S. Wilkins, 2006, “The Reputational Penalty for Aggressive Accounting: Earnings Restatements and Management Turnover,” The Accounting Review, 81(1):83~112.
|
[21] |
He J. and X. Tian, 2014, “Short Sellers and Innovation: Evidence from A Quasi-natural Experiment,” Working paper.
|
[22] |
Healy P. M. and K. G. Palepu, 2001, “Information Asymmetry, Corporate Disclosure, and the Capital Markets: A Review of the Empirical Disclosure Literature,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 31(1):405~440.
|
[23] |
Henry ó. T. and M. McKenzie, 2006, “The Impact of Short Selling on the Price-volume Relationship: Evidence from Hong Kong,” The Journal of Business, 79(2):671~691.
|
[24] |
Hirschey M., Z.-V. Palmrose and S. Scholz, 2005, “Long-term Market Underreaction to Accounting Restatements,” University of Kansas, School of Business.
|
[25] |
Karpoff J. M. and X. Lou, 2010, “Short Sellers and Financial Misconduct,” The Journal of Finance, 65(5):1879~1913.
|
[26] |
Kinney W. R. and L. S. McDaniel, 1989, “Characteristics of Firms Correcting Previously Reported Quarterly Earnings,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 11(1):71~93.
|
[27] |
Li Y. and L. Zhang, 2015, “Short Selling Pressure, Stock Price Behavior, and Management Forecast Precision: Evidence from A Natural Experiment,” Journal of Accounting Research, 53(1):79~117.
|
[28] |
Liu M., T. Ma and Y. Zhang, 2008, “Are Short Sellers Informed? New Evidence from Short Sales on Financial Firms During the Recent Subprime Mortgage Crisis,” Working paper.
|
[29] |
Massa M., B. Zhang and H. Zhang, 2013, “Governance through Threat: Does Short Selling Improve Internal Governance?,” Working paper.
|
[30] |
Massa M., B. Zhang and H. Zhang, 2015, “The Invisible Hand of Short Selling: Does Short Selling Discipline Earnings Management?,” Review of Financial Studies, 28(6):1701~1736.
|
[31] |
Pownall G. and P. J. Simko, 2005, “The Information Intermediary Role of Short Sellers,” The Accounting Review, 80(3):941~966.
|
[32] |
Richardson S. A., A. Tuna and M. Wu, 2002, “Predicting Earnings Management: The Case of Earnings Restatements,” Working paper.
|
[33] |
Rosenbaum P. R. and D. B. Rubin, 1983, “The Central Role of the Propensity Score in Observational Studies for Causal Effects,” Biometrika, 70(1):41~55.
|
[34] |
Saffi P. A. and K. Sigurdsson, 2011, “Price Efficiency and Short Selling,” Review of Financial Studies, 24:821~852.
|
[35] |
Yu F. F, 2008, “Analyst Coverage and Earnings Management,” Journal of Financial Economics, 88(2):245~271.
|
|
|
|