|
|
Risk and Efficiency for Chinese Commercial Banks:From the Perspective of Monetary Policy |
TAN Zhengxun, LI Lifang
|
TAN Zhengxun LI Lifang Department of Finance / Research Institute of Finance, Jinan University |
|
|
Abstract This paper estimates bank efficiency using a stochastic frontier model accommodating non-monotonicity and heteroscedasticity of inefficiency, and investigates the relationship between bank risk and efficiency from the perspective of monetary policy in a sample of Chinese commercial banks from 1994 to 2013. If bank output is measured by total loan without deducting non-performing loan, cost efficiency will be systematically overestimated while profit efficiency will be underestimated. If ignoring capital investment, both cost and profit efficiencies will be overestimated. Annual moves of cost efficiency and profit efficiency are similar and consistent with Chinese banking revolutions and business cycles. Chinese commercial banks have risk channels, and that continuous and pro-cyclical. Monetary policy not only affects bank risk and efficiency directly, but also indirectly influences bank efficiency through risk channels. The effect of bank risk on bank efficiency is non-monotonic and shows an invested U-shape, which results in the existence of the optimal risk with respect to bank efficiency improvement. Profit efficiency rises in response to the increase in bank risk and higher profit efficiency leads to greater risk.
|
Received: 20 November 2015
Published: 13 April 2018
|
|
|
|
[1] |
黄隽和张春林,2012,《什么决定了中国商业银行的高盈利?》,《经济理论与经济管理》第6期,第5~14页。
|
[2] |
江曙霞和陈玉婵,2012,《货币政策、银行资本与风险承担》,《金融研究》第4期,第1~16页。
|
[3] |
柯孔林和冯宗宪,2008,《中国银行业全要素生产率测度:基于Malmquist-Luenberger 指数研究》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第4期,第110~120页。
|
[4] |
刘孟飞和张晓岚,2013,《风险约束下的中国上市银行效率问题研究》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第2期,第33~48页。
|
[5] |
邱兆祥和张磊,2007,《经过风险调整的商业银行利润效率评价研究》,《金融研究》第3期,第98~111页。
|
[6] |
施华强,2005,《国有商业银行账面不良贷款、调整因素和严重程度:1994—2004》,《金融研究》第12期,第25~39页。
|
[7] |
王兵和朱宁,2011,《不良贷款约束下的中国银行业全要素生产率增长研究》,《经济研究》第7期,第32~45页。
|
[8] |
王聪和谭政勋,2007,《我国商业银行效率结构研究》,《经济研究》第7期,第110~123页。
|
[9] |
徐明东和陈学彬,2012,《货币环境、资本充足率与银行风险承担》,《金融研究》第7期,第48~62页。
|
[10] |
姚树洁、姜春霞和冯根福,2011,《中国银行业的改革与效率: 1995—2008》,《经济研究》第8期,第4~14页。
|
[11] |
盛松成和吴培新,2008,《中国货币政策的二元传导机制》,《经济研究》第10期,第37~51页。
|
[12] |
张雪兰和何德旭,2012,《货币政策立场与银行风险承担》,《经济研究》第5期,第31~44页。
|
[13] |
张健华和王鹏,2012,《银行风险、贷款规模与法律保护水平》,《经济研究》第5期,第18~30页。
|
[14] |
Adrian, T., and H. S. Shin.2009.“Financial Intermediaries and Monetary Economics”,Federal Reserve Bank of New York,Staff Reports No. 398,October.
|
[15] |
Altunbas, Y., M. H. Liu and P. Molyneux. 2000. “ Efficiency and risk in Japanese Banking”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10):1605~1628.
|
[16] |
Altunbas, Y., S. Carbo, E. P. M. Gardener and P. Molyneux. 2007. “Examining the Relationships between Capital, Risk and Efficiency in European Banking”, European Financial Management, 13:49~70.
|
[17] |
Altunbas, Y., L. Gambacorta and D. Marques-Ibanez. 2010. “Bank Risk and Monetary Policy”, Journal of Financial Stability, 6(3):121~129.
|
[18] |
Arellano, M., and O. Bover. 1995. “Another Look at Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Components Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 68(1): 29~51.
|
[19] |
Banker,R. D., H. Chang and S-Y Lee. 2010.“Differential Impact of Korean Banking System Reforms on Bank Productivity”,Journal of Bank and Finance, 34(7):1450~1460.
|
[20] |
Battese,G. E., and T. J. Coelli. 1995. “A Model for Technical Inefficiency Effects in a Stochastic Frontier Production Function for Panel Data”, Empirical Econometrics, 20:325~332.
|
[21] |
Berger, A. N., and R. DeYoung. 1997. “ Problem Loans and Cost Efficiency in Commercial Banks ”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 21(6): 849~870.
|
[22] |
Berger, A. N., and L.J. Mester. 1997. “Inside the Black Box: What Explains Differences in the Efficiencies of Financial Institutions?”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 21:895~947.
|
[23] |
Blundell, R., and S. Bond. 1998. “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87(1): 115~143.
|
[24] |
Borio, C., and H.Zhu. 2008. “Capital Regulation,Risk-taking and Monetary Policy: A Missing Link in the Transmission Mechanism”,BIS Working Papers No. 268, December.
|
[25] |
Delis, M. D. and G. P. Kouretas. 2011. “Interest Rates and Bank Risk-Taking”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(4): 840~855.
|
[26] |
Fiordelisi, F., D. Marques-Ibanez and P. Molyneux. 2011. “Efficiency and Risk in European Banking”. Journal of Banking and Finance, 35(5):1315~1326.
|
[27] |
Hasan, I., and K. Marton. 2003. “Development and Efficiency of the Banking Sector in a Transitional Economy: Hungarian Experience”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 27:2249~2271.
|
[28] |
Hou, X., Q. Wang and Q. Zhang, 2014, “Market Structure, Risk Taking, and the Efficiency of Chinese Commercial Banks”, Emerging Markets Review, 20:75~88.
|
[29] |
Mester, L.J..1996. “A Study of Bank Efficiency Taking Into Account Risk-Preferences”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 20: 1025~1045.
|
[30] |
Patti, E. B., and D.C. Hardy. 2005. “ Financial Sector Liberalization, Bank Privatization, and Efficiency: Evidence from Pakistan”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 29:2381~2406.
|
[31] |
Wang, H.-J..2002.“Heteroscedasticity and Non-Monotonic Efficiency Effects of a Stochastic Frontier Model”, Journal of Productivity Analysis, 18:241~253.
|
[32] |
Williams, J..2004. “Determining Management Behaviors in European Banking”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 28: 2427~2460.
|
[33] |
Radic, N., F. Fiordelisi and C. Girardone. 2012. “Efficiency and Risk-Taking in Pre-Crisis Investment Banks”, Journal of Finance Service Research, 41(1):81~101.
|
[34] |
Salas, V., and J. Saurina. 2003. “Deregulation, Market Power and Risk Behaviors in Spanish Banks”, European Economic Review, 47:1061~1075.
|
[35] |
Sarmiento, M. and J. E. Galan. 2014.“Heterogeneous Effects of Risk-Taking on Bank Efficiency: A Stochastic Frontier Model with Random Coefficients”, University Carlos III De Madrid, Working paper 14~20.
|
[36] |
Sun, L., and T.-P. Chang. 2011. “A Comprehensive Analysis of the Effects of Risk Measures on Bank Efficiency: Evidence from Emerging Asian Countries”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 35:1727~1735.
|
|
|
|