|
|
Can Air Quality Affect the Stock Market? |
GUO Yongji, ZHANG Yihao
|
Department of Management Science and Engineering/School of Business, Nanjing University |
|
|
Abstract Air quality may affect stock market participants and ultimately affect stock market through the channels of emotion, policy and expect. This paper empirically analysis the key problem of whether and how the air quality affects stock market with the Shanghai air quality index and Shanghai listed companies’ stock prices index data from 2006.1.4 to 2013.1.14 using multivariate progressive methods. The empirical studies find the air quality has influences on the stock market returns, turnover rate and volatility. The emotion and other channels of the air quality’s effect on stock market exist. The good air quality tends to lead stock market get higher returns, lower turnover rate and volatility. The impact of air pollution is symmetry to good air quality. Robustness based on mixing frequency regression tests can rule out the possibility of endogenous.
|
Received: 03 July 2014
Published: 01 January 1900
|
|
|
|
[1] |
陈圣飞、谢汪送和朱旭强,2011,《论适应性预期下中国投资者对股市主观概率的测定》,《经济理论与经济管理》第7期,第76~79页。
|
[2] |
傅帅雄、张可云和张文彬,2011,《环境规制与中国工业区域布局的“污染天堂”效应》,《山西财经大学学报》第7期,第8~14页。
|
[3] |
陆静,2011,《中国股票市场天气效应的实证研究》,《中国软科学》第6期,第65~78页。
|
[4] |
林树和俞乔,2010,《有限理性、动物精神及市场崩溃:对情绪波动与交易行为的实验研究》,《经济研究》第8期,第115~127页。
|
[5] |
刘汉和刘金全,2011,《中国宏观经济总量的实时预报与短期预测——基于混频数据预测模型的实证研究》,《经济研究》第3期,第4~17页。
|
[6] |
谭松涛和陈玉宇,2012,《投资经验能够改善股民的收益状况吗:基于股民交易记录数据的研究》,《金融研究》第5期,第164~178页。
|
[7] |
杨炘、王小征和滕召学,2004,《中国股市个人与机构投资者的羊群效应》,《清华大学学报(自然科学版)》,第12期,第1610~1614页。
|
[8] |
郑挺国和尚玉皇,2013,《基于金融指标对中国GDP的混频预测分析》,《金融研究》第9期,第16-29页。
|
[9] |
Banerjee, A. V., 1992, “A Simple Model of Herd Behavior,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, pp.797~817.
|
[10] |
Bullinger M., 1990, “Environmental Stress: Effects of Air Pollution on Mood, Neuropsychological Function and Physical State,” In: Puglisi-Allegra S. and A. Oliverio (eds.), Psychobiology of Stress, 54, pp.241~250.
|
[11] |
Coates J. and J. Herbert, 2008, “Endogenous Steroids and Financial Risk Taking on a London Trading Floor,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105 (16), pp.6167~6172.
|
[12] |
Daniel K., Hirshleifer D. and Subrahmanyam A., 1998, “Investor Psychology and Security Market Under and Overreactions,” Journal of Finance, pp.1839~1885.
|
[13] |
Ghysels,E.,Santa-Clara,P. and Valkanov R.,2004,“The MIDAS Touch: Mixed Data Sampling Regressions”,mimeo, Chapel Hill,N. C.
|
[14] |
Hirshleifer D., 2001, “Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing,” Journal of Finance, pp.1533~1597.
|
[15] |
Hirshleifer D. and Shumway T., 2003, “Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather,” Journal of Finance, pp.1009~1032.
|
[16] |
Kamstra M., Kramer L. and Levi M., 2002, “Winter Blues: A SAD Stock Market Cycle,” Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Working Paper, NO. 2002~13.
|
[17] |
Kong D., Liu S. and Dai Y., 2012, “Environmental Policy, Company Environment Protection, and Stock Market Performance: Evidence from China,” Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management,21(2),pp.100-112.
|
[18] |
Lundberg A., 1996, “Psychiatric Aspects of Air Pollution,” Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg, 114(2), pp.227~31.
|
[19] |
Lepori G. M., 2009, “Environmental Stressors, Mood, and Trading Decisions: Evidence from Ambient Air Pollution.” Working papers series, Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1284549.
|
[20] |
Mulatu A., Gerlagh R., Rigby D. and Wossink A, 2010, “Environmental Regulation and Industry Location in Europe,” Environmental and Resource Economics, (4).
|
[21] |
Nowakowicz-Debek B., Saba L. and H. Bis-Wencel, 2004, “The Effects of Air Pollutants on the Cortisol and Progesterone Secretion in Polar Fox (Alopex lagopus),” Scientifur, 28 (3), pp.218~221.
|
[22] |
Oberndorfer U. and Andreas Z., 2006, “Environmentally Oriented Energy Policy and Stock Returns: An Empirical Analysis,” ZEW working paper, No. 06~079.
|
[23] |
Patton, A.J., 2004, “On the Out-of-Sample Importance of Skewness and Asymmetric Depen-dence for Asset Allocation,” Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2(1), 130~168.
|
[24] |
Saunders, E., 1993,“Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather,”American Economic Review, 1337~1345.
|
[25] |
Schottenfeld R. S., 1992, “Psychologic Sequelae of Chemical and Hazardous Materials Exposures,” In: Sullivan J. B. and G. R. Krieger, eds. Hazardous materials toxicology. Baltimore: Williams & Wilkins, pp. 463~70.
|
[26] |
Thaler R. H., 1993, “Advances in Behavioral Finance,” Princeton University Press.
|
|
|
|