|
|
The Government Revenue-expenditure Nexus: A Literature Review |
GUO Jing, YUE Ximing
|
School of Finance/China Financial Policy Research Center,Renmin University of China |
|
|
Abstract The great debate on whether fiscal revenue and expenditure should follow an “revenue–expenditure” or an “expenditure–revenue” nexus has been taking place in China more than 2,000 years ago. However, in order to reduce fiscal deficit, cut down government debt and maintain fiscal sustainability, it was not until two decades earlier that the international public finance field has started paying close attention to the relationship between fiscal revenue and expenditure. This paper outlines major literature on causality between fiscal revenue and expenditure, associated econometric approaches, and empirical studies within the context of high, medium and low income countries, and discusses upon various hypotheses and their linkage with government deficit reduction.
|
Received: 08 November 2016
Published: 18 January 2018
|
|
|
|
[7] |
何廉和李锐,1935,《财政学》,北京:商务印书馆。
|
[1] |
安秀梅和陈东,1997,《量出为入——现代市场经济条件下的理财原则》,《财贸经济》第5期,第50~54页。
|
[2] |
邓子基,2002,《以收定支还是以支定收》,《财政研究》第3期,第2~5页。
|
[3] |
董根泰,2014,《分税制改革对我国财政收支关系影响的实证研究——基于ARDL模型边限检验方法》,《财经论丛》第9期,第23~30页。
|
[8] |
靳俐,2002,《以支定收和以收定支之辨析——与邓子基教授商榷》,《财政研究》第6期,第76~78页。
|
[9] |
马克思,1961,《菲格斯·奥康瑙尔。——内阁的失败。——预算》,《马克思恩格斯全集》第9卷 ,北京:人民出版社。
|
[10] |
马兹晖,2008,《中国地方财政收入与支出——面板数据因果性与协整研究》,《管理世界》第3期,第40~48页。
|
[4] |
冯俏彬,2003,《量入为出与量出为入: 论政府理财观》,《财政研究》第7期,第6~9页。
|
[11] |
邱华炳,1981,《坚持“量入为出”是实现财政收支平衡的重要保证》,《中国经济问题》第6期,第21~26页。
|
[12] |
王立勇、黄卫挺和毕然,2015,《中国财政失衡的动态调整特征研究》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第8期,第89~103页。
|
[5] |
高培勇,2001,《“量入为出”与“以支定收”——关于当前财政收入增长态势的讨论》,《财贸经济》第3期,第11~16页。
|
[13] |
王祖耀和李秦鼎,1986,《试论量入为出的指导原则》,《财政研究》第9期,第7~11页。
|
[6] |
郭玉清和杨栋,2007,《中国政府预算收支关系:一个三变量误差修正模型的检验》,《世界经济》第7期,第28~37页。
|
[14] |
吴凯和储敏伟,2006,《中国财政收支的体制分离问题实证研究》,《统计研究》第6 期,第22~27页。
|
[7] |
何廉和李锐,1935,《财政学》,北京:商务印书馆。
|
[15] |
许雄奇和朱秋白,2004,《我国财政收入与财政支出关系的实证研究》,《财经研究》第3期,第49~57页。
|
[8] |
靳俐,2002,《以支定收和以收定支之辨析——与邓子基教授商榷》,《财政研究》第6期,第76~78页。
|
[9] |
马克思,1961,《菲格斯·奥康瑙尔。——内阁的失败。——预算》,《马克思恩格斯全集》第9卷 ,北京:人民出版社。
|
[16] |
杨海生、聂海峰和陈少凌,2014,《财政波动风险影响财政收支的动态研究》,《经济研究》第3期,第88~100页。
|
[10] |
马兹晖,2008,《中国地方财政收入与支出——面板数据因果性与协整研究》,《管理世界》第3期,第40~48页。
|
[11] |
邱华炳,1981,《坚持“量入为出”是实现财政收支平衡的重要保证》,《中国经济问题》第6期,第21~26页。
|
[12] |
王立勇、黄卫挺和毕然,2015,《中国财政失衡的动态调整特征研究》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第8期,第89~103页。
|
[13] |
王祖耀和李秦鼎,1986,《试论量入为出的指导原则》,《财政研究》第9期,第7~11页。
|
[14] |
吴凯和储敏伟,2006,《中国财政收支的体制分离问题实证研究》,《统计研究》第6 期,第22~27页。
|
[15] |
许雄奇和朱秋白,2004,《我国财政收入与财政支出关系的实证研究》,《财经研究》第3期,第49~57页。
|
[17] |
杨政、曾勇和原子霞,2011,《几类非线性协整模型研究综述》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第10期,第148~160页。
|
[16] |
杨海生、聂海峰和陈少凌,2014,《财政波动风险影响财政收支的动态研究》,《经济研究》第3期,第88~100页。
|
[18] |
杨子晖、赵永亮和汪林,2016,《财政收支关系与赤字的可持续性——基于门槛非对称性的实证研究》,《中国社会科学》第2期,第37~58页。
|
[19] |
张虎和赵慧芳,2004,《中国财政收支长期均衡关系变化的实证分析》,《中南财经政法大学学报》第6期,第67~73页。
|
[17] |
杨政、曾勇和原子霞,2011,《几类非线性协整模型研究综述》,《数量经济技术经济研究》第10期,第148~160页。
|
[20] |
张馨,1993,《论我国预算的“以支定收” 原则》,《财经论丛》第6期,第18~22页。
|
[18] |
杨子晖、赵永亮和汪林,2016,《财政收支关系与赤字的可持续性——基于门槛非对称性的实证研究》,《中国社会科学》第2期,第37~58页。
|
[19] |
张虎和赵慧芳,2004,《中国财政收支长期均衡关系变化的实证分析》,《中南财经政法大学学报》第6期,第67~73页。
|
[20] |
张馨,1993,《论我国预算的“以支定收” 原则》,《财经论丛》第6期,第18~22页。
|
[21] |
Baghestani, H. and R.McNown. 1994. “Do Revenue or Spending Respond to Budgetary Disequilibria?”, Southern Economic Journal, 61(2):311~322.
|
|
Baghestani, H. and R.McNown. 1994. “Do Revenue or Spending Respond to Budgetary Disequilibria?”, Southern Economic Journal, 61(2):311~322.
|
[22] |
Barro, R. J.. 1979. “On the Determination of Public Debt”,Journal of Political Economy,87(5):940~971.
|
|
Barro, R. J.. 1979. “On the Determination of Public Debt”,Journal of Political Economy,87(5):940~971.
|
[23] |
Bastable,C.F.. 1903. Public Finance(3nd Ed.), London:Macmillan and Co.,Limited.
|
|
Bastable,C.F.. 1903. Public Finance(3nd Ed.), London:Macmillan and Co.,Limited.
|
[24] |
Buchanan, J. M. and R. W. Wagner. 1977. Democracy in deficit: The political legacy of Lord Keynes, New York: Academic Press.
|
|
Buchanan, J. M. and R. W. Wagner. 1977. Democracy in deficit: The political legacy of Lord Keynes, New York: Academic Press.
|
[25] |
Chang T. and Y.H.Ho. 2002. “A Note on Testing Tax-and-Spend, Spend-and-Tax, of Fiscal Synchronization: The Case of China”, Journal of Economic Development,27(1): 151~160.
|
|
Chang T. and Y.H.Ho. 2002. “A Note on Testing Tax-and-Spend, Spend-and-Tax, of Fiscal Synchronization: The Case of China”, Journal of Economic Development,27(1): 151~160.
|
[26] |
Chen, P.F.. 2016. “US Fiscal Sustainability and the Causality Relationship between Government Expenditures and Revenues: A New Approach Based on Quantile Cointegration”, Fiscal Studies, 37(2):301~320.
|
|
Chen, P.F.. 2016. “US Fiscal Sustainability and the Causality Relationship between Government Expenditures and Revenues: A New Approach Based on Quantile Cointegration”, Fiscal Studies, 37(2):301~320.
|
[27] |
Dizaji, S. F.. 2014. “The Effects of Oil Shocks on Government Expenditures and Government Revenues Nexus (with an Application to Iran’s Sanctions)”, Economic Modelling, 40(c):299~313.
|
|
Dizaji, S. F.. 2014. “The Effects of Oil Shocks on Government Expenditures and Government Revenues Nexus (with an Application to Iran’s Sanctions)”, Economic Modelling, 40(c):299~313.
|
[28] |
Engle, R. F. and C.W. J. Granger. 1987. “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation,and Testing”, Econometrica,55(2) 251~276.
|
|
Engle, R. F. and C.W. J. Granger. 1987. “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation,and Testing”, Econometrica,55(2) 251~276.
|
[29] |
Ewing, B.T., J.E. Payne, M.A. Thompson, and O.M. Al-Zoubi. 2006. “Government Expenditures and Revenues: Evidence from Asymmetric Modeling”,Southern Economic Journal, 73(1):190~200.
|
|
Ewing, B.T., J.E. Payne, M.A. Thompson, and O.M. Al-Zoubi. 2006. “Government Expenditures and Revenues: Evidence from Asymmetric Modeling”,Southern Economic Journal, 73(1):190~200.
|
[30] |
Friedman, M.. 1978. “The Limitations of Tax Limitation”, Policy Review, 5(78):7~14.
|
|
Friedman, M.. 1978. “The Limitations of Tax Limitation”, Policy Review, 5(78):7~14.
|
[31] |
Friedman, M.. 1982. “Personal interview”,The Washington Times, June.
|
|
Friedman, M.. 1982. “Personal interview”,The Washington Times, June.
|
[32] |
Government Printing Office. 1984. Economic Report of the President, Washington, DC..
|
|
Government Printing Office. 1984. Economic Report of the President, Washington, DC..
|
[33] |
Granger, C. W. J.. 1969. “Investigating Causal Relationships by Econometric Models and Cross Spectral Methods”, Econometrica, 37(3):424~438.
|
|
Granger, C. W. J.. 1969. “Investigating Causal Relationships by Econometric Models and Cross Spectral Methods”, Econometrica, 37(3):424~438.
|
[34] |
Hasan, M. and I. Lincoln. 1997. “Tax then Spend or Spend then Tax? Experience in the UK,1961-1993”,Applied Economics Letters, 4(4): 237~239.
|
|
Hasan, M. and I. Lincoln. 1997. “Tax then Spend or Spend then Tax? Experience in the UK,1961-1993”,Applied Economics Letters, 4(4): 237~239.
|
[35] |
Hoover, K.D. and S.M. Sheffrin. 1992. “Causation, Spending, and Taxes: Sand in the Sandbox or Tax Collector for the Welfare State”, American Economic Review, 82(1): 225~248.
|
|
Hoover, K.D. and S.M. Sheffrin. 1992. “Causation, Spending, and Taxes: Sand in the Sandbox or Tax Collector for the Welfare State”, American Economic Review, 82(1): 225~248.
|
[36] |
Johansen, S.. 1988. “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3): 231~254.
|
|
Johansen, S.. 1988. “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3): 231~254.
|
[37] |
Johansen, S. and K. Juselius. 1990. “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration:With Applications to the Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2): 169~210.
|
|
Johansen, S. and K. Juselius. 1990. “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration:With Applications to the Demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2): 169~210.
|
[38] |
Kaya, A. and H. S,en. 2013. “How to Achieve and Sustain Fiscal Discipline in Turkey: Rising Taxes, Reducing Government Spending or A Combination of Both?”,Romanian Journal of Fiscal Policy, 4 (1):1~26.
|
|
Kaya, A. and H. S,en. 2013. “How to Achieve and Sustain Fiscal Discipline in Turkey: Rising Taxes, Reducing Government Spending or A Combination of Both?”,Romanian Journal of Fiscal Policy, 4 (1):1~26.
|
[39] |
Koren,S. and A.Stiassny. 1998. “Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax? An International Study”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 20(2):163~191.
|
|
Koren,S. and A.Stiassny. 1998. “Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax? An International Study”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 20(2):163~191.
|
[40] |
Li, X.-M.. 2001. “Government Revenue, Government Expenditure and Temporal Causality: Evidence from China”, Applied Economics, 33(4):485~497.
|
|
Li, X.-M.. 2001. “Government Revenue, Government Expenditure and Temporal Causality: Evidence from China”, Applied Economics, 33(4):485~497.
|
[41] |
Manage, N. and M. L. Marlow. 1986. “The Causal Relation between Federal Expenditures and Receipts”, Southern Economic Journal, 52(3):617~629.
|
|
Manage, N. and M. L. Marlow. 1986. “The Causal Relation between Federal Expenditures and Receipts”, Southern Economic Journal, 52(3):617~629.
|
[42] |
Musgrave, R.. 1966. “Principles of Budget Determination”,in H. Cameron and W. Henderson(eds.), Public finance: Selected readings, New York: Random House.
|
|
Musgrave, R.. 1966. “Principles of Budget Determination”,in H. Cameron and W. Henderson(eds.), Public finance: Selected readings, New York: Random House.
|
[43] |
Mutascu, M.. 2015. “A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis of Government Revenues and Expenditures in the PIIGS Countries”, Economics Bulletin, 35(3):2000~2004.
|
|
Mutascu, M.. 2015. “A Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis of Government Revenues and Expenditures in the PIIGS Countries”, Economics Bulletin, 35(3):2000~2004.
|
[44] |
Narayan, P.K. and S.Narayan. 2006. “Government Revenue and Government Spending Nexus: Evidence from Developing Countries”, Applied Economics, 38(3):285~291.
|
|
Narayan, P.K. and S.Narayan. 2006. “Government Revenue and Government Spending Nexus: Evidence from Developing Countries”, Applied Economics, 38(3):285~291.
|
[45] |
OECD. 1981. Economic Survey United Kingdom, Paris: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.
|
|
OECD. 1981. Economic Survey United Kingdom, Paris: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.
|
[46] |
Paleologou, S-M.. 2013. “Asymmetries in the Revenue–Expenditure Nexus: A Tale of Three Countries”, Economic Modelling, 30(1):52~60.
|
|
Paleologou, S-M.. 2013. “Asymmetries in the Revenue–Expenditure Nexus: A Tale of Three Countries”, Economic Modelling, 30(1):52~60.
|
[47] |
Payne, J. E.. 2003. “A Survey of the International Empirical Evidence on the Tax-Spend Debate”,Public Finance Review, 31(3):302~324.
|
|
Payne, J. E.. 2003. “A Survey of the International Empirical Evidence on the Tax-Spend Debate”,Public Finance Review, 31(3):302~324.
|
[48] |
Payne, J.E.,H. Mohammadi, and M. Cak. 2008. “Turkish Budget Deficit Sustainability and the Revenue-Expenditure Nexus”, Applied Economics, 40(7): 823~830.
|
|
Payne, J.E.,H. Mohammadi, and M. Cak. 2008. “Turkish Budget Deficit Sustainability and the Revenue-Expenditure Nexus”, Applied Economics, 40(7): 823~830.
|
[49] |
Peacock, A. and J. Wiseman. 1961. The Growth of Public Expenditures in the United Kingdom, Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.
|
|
Peacock, A. and J. Wiseman. 1961. The Growth of Public Expenditures in the United Kingdom, Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.
|
[50] |
Peacock, A. T. and J. Wiseman. 1979. “Approaches to the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth”, Public Finance Quarterly, 7(1):3~23.
|
|
Peacock, A. T. and J. Wiseman. 1979. “Approaches to the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth”, Public Finance Quarterly, 7(1):3~23.
|
[51] |
Petanlar, S. K. and S. Sadeghi. 2012. “Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Oil Exporting Countries”, International Journal of Economics and Management Engineering, 2(2):33~35.
|
|
Petanlar, S. K. and S. Sadeghi. 2012. “Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Oil Exporting Countries”, International Journal of Economics and Management Engineering, 2(2):33~35.
|
[52] |
Ram, R.. 1988a. “Additional Evidence on Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure”,Southern Economic Journal, 54(3):763~769.
|
|
Ram, R.. 1988a. “Additional Evidence on Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure”,Southern Economic Journal, 54(3):763~769.
|
[53] |
Ram, R.. 1988b. “A Multicountry Perspective on Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure”, Public Finance, 43 (2): 261~270.
|
|
Ram, R.. 1988b. “A Multicountry Perspective on Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure”, Public Finance, 43 (2): 261~270.
|
[54] |
Sargent, T.J.. 1987. Macroeconomic Theory(2nd Ed.),Boston: Academic Press.
|
|
Sargent, T.J.. 1987. Macroeconomic Theory(2nd Ed.),Boston: Academic Press.
|
[55] |
Sims, C. A.. 1972.“Money, Income, and Ccausality”, American Economic Review 62(4):540~552
|
|
Sims, C. A.. 1972.“Money, Income, and Ccausality”, American Economic Review 62(4):540~552
|
[56] |
Toda, H. Y. and T. Yamamoto. 1995. “Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Processes”, Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2):225~250.
|
|
Toda, H. Y. and T. Yamamoto. 1995. “Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Processes”, Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2):225~250.
|
[57] |
Vamvoukas, G.A.. 2011. “The Tax-Spend Debate with an Application to the EU”, Economic Issues, 16(Part 1): 65~88.
|
|
Vamvoukas, G.A.. 2011. “The Tax-Spend Debate with an Application to the EU”, Economic Issues, 16(Part 1): 65~88.
|
[58] |
Vamvoukas,G.A.. 2012. “Panel Data Modelling and the Tax-Spend Controversy in the Euro Zone”,Applied Economics, 44(31): 4073~4085.
|
|
Vamvoukas,G.A.. 2012. “Panel Data Modelling and the Tax-Spend Controversy in the Euro Zone”,Applied Economics, 44(31): 4073~4085.
|
[59] |
Von Furstenberg, G.M., R.J. Green, and J.H. Jeong. 1986. “Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax?”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 68(2):179~188.
|
|
Von Furstenberg, G.M., R.J. Green, and J.H. Jeong. 1986. “Tax and Spend, or Spend and Tax?”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 68(2):179~188.
|
[60] |
Westerlund, J., S.Mahdavi, and F.Firoozi. 2011. “The Tax-Spending Nexus: Evidence from A Panel of US State–Local Governments”,Economic Modelling, 28(3): 885~890.
|
|
Westerlund, J., S.Mahdavi, and F.Firoozi. 2011. “The Tax-Spending Nexus: Evidence from A Panel of US State–Local Governments”,Economic Modelling, 28(3): 885~890.
|
[61] |
Wildavsky, A.. 1964. The Politics of Budgetary Process, Boston: Little Brown.
|
|
Wildavsky, A.. 1964. The Politics of Budgetary Process, Boston: Little Brown.
|
[62] |
Young, A.T.. 2009. “Tax-Spend or Fiscal Illusion?”, Cato Journal, 29(3): 469~485.
|
|
Young, A.T.. 2009. “Tax-Spend or Fiscal Illusion?”, Cato Journal, 29(3): 469~485.
|
No related articles found! |
|
|
|
|