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Demographic Transition during the Course of Urbanization and the Population Policy |
GUO Kaiming, YU Jingwen
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College of Economics, Jinan University; International Business School, Beijing Foreign Studies University |
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Abstract This paper studies the relationship between urbanization and population growth in a dual economy that incorporates the substitution relationship between quantity and quality in fertility choice. Rural labors move to urban area and take the advantage of the externality of human capital accumulation. It contributes the fertility inequality between rural area and urban area, leading to the demographic transition during the course of urbanization. As the urbanization rate increases, the effect of urbanization on the demographic transition decreases. It implies that China’s government should further relax the constraint on the fertility rate and remove the barriers to the urbanization.
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Received: 10 October 2015
Published: 01 January 1900
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