|
|
Customer's High-quality Accounting Information and Debt Default Risk of Suppliers |
YI Zhaoying, LIU Jianhua, MA Xinxiao
|
School of Accounting, Capital University of Economics and Business; Lingnan College, Sun Yat-sen University; Management College/China Business Working Capital Management Research Center, Ocean University of China |
|
|
Abstract With the continuous release of credit risk in the bond market, the phenomenon of corporate debt defaults in China tends to be increasingly common with the number and amount of defaults increasing. The debt default risk is closely related to the supply chain. The supplier affects the procurement and cost of the enterprise, while the customer affects the demand and revenue of the enterprise. Once the supply chain is broken down, the enterprise will be unable to operate, which results in debt defaults. In practice, there are many cases of cascading debt defaults due to the bankruptcy of upstream suppliers or downstream customers, which lead to systemic financial risks. How to effectively reduce the debt default risk of Chinese enterprises in the supply chain, prevent and resolve systemic financial risks and maintain the security and stability in the industry chain has become a very important research topic on national governance. Exising srudies on corporate debt default risk. existing studies mainly focus on the macro institutional environment and micro corporate characteristics, but have paid little attention to the spillover effect of accounting information on supply chain debt risk. In practice, suppliers and customers are closely connected, and customers' accounting information has spillover effects on the financing and operation of suppliers, which can subsequently affect the debt default risk. Therefore, we want to explore whether and how customers' high-quality accounting information can reduce the debt default risk of suppliers, and under which conditions the risk mitigation effect will be more obvious. Based on the sample of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2008 to 2020, this paper explores the mitigation effect and internal mechanism on how customers' high-quality accounting information affects supplier's debt default risk. We find that: Customers' high-quality accounting information can effectively alleviate the debt default risk faced by suppliers. The mechanism tests show that customers' high-quality accounting information can optimize the operation and management activities of suppliers, enhance their assets value, improve the credit decisions of financial institutions, and reduce the scale of excessive debt of suppliers, thereby mitigating debt default risk. Finally, based on the heterogeneity analysis of macroeconomic uncertainty, supply chain characteristics, and corporate ownership structures, we find that when thesr is slower macroeconomic growth, stronger supply chain economic links or more specific assets, and privately controlled suppliers, customers' high-quality accounting information mitigates suppliers' debt default risk more. Our results remain robust across various tests. The research contributions of this study are as follows: First, it enrich research on influencing factors of corporate debt default risk. Based on the supply chain context, this paper studies the impact of customers' high-quality accounting information on suppliers' corporate debt default risk for the first time. We explore the underlying mechanisms and enrich literature on factors affecting corporate debt default risk. Second, it expands the spillover effect of accounting information within the supply chain. Information spillover effect is common in the supply chain, which has been widely explored in previous studies. This paper theoretically analyzes and empirically tests the spillover effect of customers' high-quality accounting information on suppliers' corporate debt default risk for the first time, and also considers the impacts of heterogeneous factors. It expands uoon the economic consequences of accounting information spillover effects in supply chain. Third, it provides important theoretical guidance and policy recommendations for Chinese enterprises to better resolve debt default risks. Since 2020, macroeconomic growth has slowed down and corporate debt defaults have occurred more frequently making prevention and resolution of systemic financial risks increasingly important. We find that customers' high-quality accounting information can reduce the debt default risk of suppliers, which can effectively curb the contagion and accumulation of debt default risk in supply chain. Our findings provide policy references for maintaining supply chain security and stability and for comprehensively deepening the supply-side structural reform, as emphasized in the report of the 20th National Congress.
|
Received: 16 October 2023
Published: 02 October 2024
|
|
|
|
[1] |
蔡贵龙、邓景、葛锐和郑国坚,2022,《客户行业竞争地位与供应商企业绩效》,《会计研究》第11期,第72~86页。
|
[2] |
陈德球、刘经纬和董志勇,2013,《社会破产成本、企业债务违约与信贷资金配置效率》,《金融研究》第11期,第68~81页。
|
[3] |
黄秋萍、赵先德、杨君豪和梁超杰,2014,《供应商关系管理中的金融关系行为研究》,《南开管理评论》第17期,第66~77页。
|
[4] |
黄宪和王旭东,2015,《我国央行货币政策实施力度和节奏的规律及效果研究——基于历史演进和时变分析的视角》,《金融研究》第11期,第15~32页。
|
[5] |
李春涛、宋敏和张璇,2014,《分析师跟踪与企业盈余管理——来自中国上市公司的证据》,《金融研究》第7期,第124~139页。
|
[6] |
李心合、王亚星和叶玲,2014,《债务异质性假说与资本结构选择理论的新解释》,《会计研究》第12期,第3~10页。
|
[7] |
陆正飞、祝继高和孙便霞,2008,《盈余管理、会计信息与银行债务契约》,《管理世界》第3期,第152~158页。
|
[8] |
陆正飞、何捷和窦欢,2015,《谁更过度负债:国有还是非国有企业?》,《经济研究》第12期,第54~67页。
|
[9] |
孟庆斌、侯粲然和鲁冰,2019,《企业创新与违约风险》,《世界经济》第10期,第169~192页。
|
[10] |
申慧慧和吴联生,2012,《股权性质、环境不确定性与会计信息的治理效应》,《会计研究》第8期,第8~16页。
|
[11] |
王雄元和高开娟,2017,《客户关系与企业成本黏性:敲竹杠还是合作》,《南开管理评论》第1期,第132~142页。
|
[12] |
王雄元和彭旋,2016,《稳定客户提高了分析师对企业盈余预测的准确性吗?》,《金融研究》第5期,第156~172页。
|
[13] |
魏明海、衣昭颖和李晶晶,2018,《中国情境下供应链中客户盈余信息传递效应影响因素研究》,《会计研究》第6期,第19~25页。
|
[14] |
徐忠、沈艳、王小康和沈明高,2009,《市场结构与我国银行业绩效:假说与检验》,《经济研究》第10期,第75~86页。
|
[15] |
衣昭颖、郑国坚和马新啸,2023,《高质量客户信息能够缓解企业融资约束吗?——基于供应链信息传递的视角》,《世界经济文汇》第5期,第68~85页。
|
[16] |
余明桂和潘红波,2010,《金融发展,商业信用与产品市场竞争》,《管理世界》第8期,第117~129页。
|
[17] |
张敏、张胜、王成方和申慧慧,2010,《政治关联与信贷资源配置效率——来自我国民营上市公司的经验证据》,《管理世界》第11期,第143~153页。
|
[18] |
周宏、徐兆铭、彭丽华和杨萌萌,2011,《宏观经济不确定性对中国企业债券信用风险的影响——基于2007—2009年月度面板数据》,《会计研究》第12期,第41~45页。
|
[19] |
Ak, B. K. and P. N. Patatoukas, 2016, “Customer-Base Concentration and Inventory Efficiencies: Evidence from the Manufacturing Sector”,Production and Operations Management, 25(2), pp.258~272.
|
[20] |
Altman, E. I., 1968, “Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy”, Journal of Finance, (23),pp.589~609.
|
[21] |
Bharath, S. T., Sunder, J. and S. V. Sunder, 2008, “Accounting Quality and Debt Contracting”, Accounting Review, (83),pp.1~28.
|
[22] |
Bharath, S. T. and T. Shumway, 2008, “Forecasting Default with the Merton Distance to Default Model”, Review of Financial Studies, 21 (3),pp.1339~1369.
|
[23] |
Ciampi, F., 2015, “Corporate Governance Characteristics and Default Prediction Modeling for Small Enterprises:an Empirical Analysis of Italian Firms”, Journal of Business Research, 68 (5),pp.1012~1025.
|
[24] |
Dechow, P. M. and I. D. Dichev, 2002, “The Quality of Accruals and Earnings: The Role of Accrual Estimation Errors”, Accounting Review, 77(Supplement),pp.35~59.
|
[25] |
Dechow, P. M., Sloan, R. G. and A. P. Hutton, 1995, “Detecting Earnings Management”, Accounting Review, 70(2),pp.193~225.
|
[26] |
Files, R. and U. G. Gurun, 2017, “Lenders' Response to Peer and Customer Restatements,” Contemporary Accounting Research, 35 (1),pp.464~493.
|
[27] |
Guan, Y., Wong, F. and Y. Zhang, 2015, “Analyst Following along the Supply Chain”, Review of Accounting Studies, 20 (1),pp.210~241.
|
[28] |
Hertzel, M., Li, Z., Officer, M. and K. Rodgers, 2008, “Inter-firm Linkages and the Wealth Effects of Financial Distress along the Supply Chain”, Journal of Financial Economics, 87 (2),pp.374~387.
|
[29] |
Huang, L. and J. R. Kale, 2013, “Product Market Linkages, Manager Quality, and Mutual Fund Performance”, Review of Finance, 17(6),pp.1895~1946.
|
[30] |
Itzkowitz, J., 2015, “Buyers as Stakeholders: How Relationships Affect Suppliers Financial Constraints”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 31, pp.54~66.
|
[31] |
Kim, J. B., Song, B. Y. and Y. Zhang, 2015, “Earnings Performance of Major Customers and Bank Loan Contracting with Suppliers”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 59(10),pp.384~398.
|
[32] |
Merton, R. C., 1974, “On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: the Risk Structure of Interest rates”, Journal of Finance, 29(2),pp.449~470.
|
[33] |
Panteghini, P. M. and S. Vergalli, 2016, “Accelerated Depreciation, Default Risk and Investment Decisions”, Journal of Economics, (2),pp.113~130.
|
[34] |
Patatoukas, P. N., 2012, “Customer-Base Concentration: Implications for Firm Performance and Capital Markets”, The Accounting Review, 87(2),pp.363~392.
|
[35] |
Radhakrishnan, S., Wang, Z. and Y. Zhang, 2014, “Customers' Capital Market Information Quality and Suppliers' Performance”, Production and Operations Management, 23(10),pp.1690~1705.
|
[36] |
Sarkar, S., 2008, “Can Tax Convexity be Ignored in Corporate Financing Decisions”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 32 (7),pp.1310~1321.
|
[37] |
Yi, Z. Y., Xu, X. W., Wei, M. H. and B. X. Lin, 2023, “Foreign Institutional Ownership Externalities and Supplier Innovation”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 80, pp.1~20.
|
No related articles found! |
|
|
|
|